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June 24, 2020

Argentina
The State of Argentina’s Debt Restructuring…

When a majority isn’t a majority…

Argentina's IFI and Market Debt Stack

February 26, 2005

Emerging Markets
Has Argentina changed the rules of the sovereign debt game?

Argentina is on the verge of completing one of the largest sovereign debt restructurings in history. Argentina is seeking to restructure about $82 billion in bonds, plus $21 billion or so in past d…

April 7, 2017

Financial Markets
CFR Sovereign Risk Tracker

The CFR Sovereign Risk Tracker can be used to gauge the vulnerability of emerging markets to default on external debt. 

Sovereign risk tracker

February 21, 2023

United States
As the Debt Ceiling Crisis Looms, Allies and Adversaries Are Watching

A U.S. default would send a shock through the global economy and risk the credibility of the U.S. dollar.  It would also alarm U.S. allies while presenting a gift to its adversaries.

The sun shines on the U.S. Capitol dome on the first day the federal government re-opened following a 16-day shutdown at the U.S. Capitol in Washington

November 5, 2019

Uganda
How Will China React to Uganda’s Looming Debt Crisis?

Uganda is heading toward a debt crisis. According to a senior official at the Bank of Uganda, unless the country is able to sustain a growth rate of at least 7 percent—which economic projections show Uganda will not do—the country will default on its payments. As is the case for many African countries, China is Uganda’s largest creditor, making up 39 percent of total debt this past fiscal year. If Uganda defaults, it is unclear how China will react.

Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping flanked by Chinese and Ugandan flags.