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January 21, 2025

RealEcon
Tariff Strategies Don’t Cause Inflation, But Trade Wars Do

The Trump administration has lauded tariffs as policy panacea, but rising uncertainty around global trade will make it all the more difficult to bring inflation under control.

Close up shot of the open drawer of a cash till, full of American dollars. Sales assistant giving change to customer

December 11, 2024

RealEcon
The Future of Trade in an Era of Disruption

Edward Alden’s speech on October 28, 2024, at the Yeutter Institute for International Trade and Finance at the University of Nebraska provides parameters and principles for future trade policy.

Edward Alden speaks at the Yeutter Symposium

January 17, 2025

RealEcon
Trump Tariffs Will Not Tame China’s Trade Surplus

Correcting the major imbalances in the global economy will require collaborative international action. If he wants results, Trump will need to rein in his penchant to go it alone.

U.S. President Donald Trump attends a bilateral meeting with China's President Xi Jinping during the G20 leaders summit in Osaka, Japan, June 29, 2019.

December 18, 2024

RealEcon
Trump Will Be His Own Trade Czar

Expect chaos as an unpredictable president uses trade threats to pursue whatever unrelated issue he wishes.

An employee works on photovoltaic modules destined for export at a factory in Sihong, China, on Sept. 3.

May 8, 2024

RealEcon
In Economic Security, Trade-Offs Abound

Policymakers face complex cost-benefit considerations when intervening in the market to mitigate perceived risks, from climate change to competition with China.

(L-R) European Council President Charles Michel, Italy's Primer Minister Giorgia Meloni, Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, France's President Emmanuel Macron, Japan's Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, US President Joe Biden, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, Britain's Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen pose for the family photo during a visit to the Itsukushima Shrine in Miyajima Island as part of the G7 Leaders' Summit, on May 19, 2023.

April 1, 2024

RealEcon
Policymaking Is All About Trade-Offs

In crafting a new international economic policy that works for Americans and advances U.S. interests, policymakers will have to weigh multiple trade-offs.

San Diego, California, USA - October 8, 2015: British Airways Boeing 777 flying over crowded freeway to land at Lindberg Field San Diego International Airport.

April 1, 2025

Trade
What Are Tariffs?

President Donald Trump has begun his second term imposing tariffs against some of the United States’ leading trading partners to correct what he says are decades of imbalances harmful to the U.S. eco…

A red-helmeted worker lays steel at a factory.

November 4, 2024

RealEcon
Trade Protection Without Trade Promotion: Why Tightening Trade Rules Alone Would Not Strengthen U.S. Economic Security

Defensive protectionist measures should be balanced with offensive trade promotion, ensuring access to global markets and competitiveness with China in the Indo-Pacific.

Shipping containers are seen at the port of Barcelona, Spain, October 3, 2024.

April 9, 2025

China
Why the Proposed Mar-a-Lago Accord May Not be the Magic Wand That Trump Is Hoping For

While a Mar-a-Lago Accord might sound like a strategic move, it is unlikely to achieve the desired trade rebalance.

U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks on tariffs at the White House in Washington, D.C.

May 16, 2024

RealEcon
The Fed’s Trade-Offs as It Navigates Inflation and Growth in 2024

The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment presents trade-offs as the Fed grapples with the next move of interest rates. 

The exterior of the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., June 14, 2022.