• Grand Strategy
    The Iraq War
    Text as delivered; no prepared statement Mr. Chairman, Mr. Former Chairman, members of the committee, permit me a moment of reflection. I know well the bipartisan power of this committee. I worked here over 40 years ago for Senator Jacob Javits, and in 1966 this committee conducted hearings on Vietnam that really changed the course of the debate in the United States about that war. It illuminated the situation in Vietnam and our choices. Those hearings were a monument to bipartisanship and to democracy. I am honored to be here to present the proposal—strategic alternative developed by the chairman and myself, now almost a year ago, and since we first put it forward it has been so misrepresented, maligned and attacked that my wife now calls it the “Biden Plan.” (Laughter.) The essence of the idea—the chairman just outlined it a moment ago—is that if there is to be a settlement of this war—and we may be beyond that point—it has to be a political settlement based on a power-sharing arrangement. And there are two kinds of power-sharing arrangements: one can strive for a strong central government, or one can strive for a decentralized or federal system. The administration has tried for over three years now to build the strong central government. It has not worked; it will not work, because there are not sufficient common interests and there’s almost total lack of trust. That government is inefficient and corrupt; most of the ministers—and I know you’ve all been there—don’t even leave the Green Zone to go to their ministries to run their departments. So the alternative for the Iraqis is a decentralized system. And I say “for the Iraqis,” because they themselves, as the chairman noted, have called what they have a federal system, and in their constitution, they put forward a federal structure and provide for provinces joining with other provinces to join regional governments. This is not an invention of Chairman Biden and myself. It is in their constitution. They also passed implementing legislation a few months ago to make this happen, though they deferred it. Now, what would a government like this look like? Why is there opposition to the idea of actually getting it done; implementing the federal system? And, finally, how would you overcome that opposition and resistance? The government would look like this: The central government would be based on the areas where there are genuine common interests among the different Iraqi parties. That is, foreign affairs, border defense, currency and, above all, oil and gas production and revenues. I’ll come back to that in a moment. But that’s where they share real interests. As for the regions, whether they be three or four or five, whatever it may be, it’s up to—all this is up to the Iraqis to decide, would be responsible for legislation, administration and internal security. Very important, because they would defend themselves; they have that interest in taking care of their own people. Now, 80 percent of the Iraqi people approved that constitution and that federal system. Eighty percent of the National Assembly backed the idea of moving forward on the federal system because it’s a way of letting the different communities run their own affairs and, at the same time, keeping the country together. So, why the opposition? The opposition comes principally from the Sunnis, and principally because they’ve been used to running that country for hundreds of years and they still view themselves as the natural rulers of the whole country; they don’t want to give it up. And they’re backed in that desire by their Sunni Arab neighbors, who like the idea of the Sunnis running Iraq, don’t like the idea of the Shi’ites running it, and don’t want to see Iraq broken up in any fashion whatsoever because it’s a bad precedent for them. And they’re in turn backed by the Bush administration and by most of the Middle East experts in this country, who tend to follow the Sunni way of thinking on this. There are Shi’ites opposed to this, too, and those Shi’ites are opposed to it because they think it’s now their turn to run all of Iraq, so they don’t want to see it federalized to weaken their power. And they’ve resisted it on those grounds. The Kurds are all for it, and for almost 13 years they’ve been running their own regional government and very successfully. Now, how do you overcome their resistance? This is a big problem and it may not be doable, but here is what the chairman and I have put forward: First and foremost, you try to make the Sunnis an offer they can’t refuse. You let them run their own region and they have to see that that’s preferable to their being a permanent minority in a government run by the Shi’ites and the Kurds. This way they can run their own affairs, and it’s their last chance to do so. Secondly, you’ve got to make it economically viable for the Sunnis to have their own region, and the only way you can do that is by changing the constitution so that it guarantees the Sunnis 20 percent, based on their proportion of the population, 20 percent of the oil revenues, present and future. Right now, they’re guaranteed nothing. How do you convince the Shi’ites? Basically, you’ve got to convince them that, if they try to run the whole country, they’re going to be faced with endless insurgencies themselves. They’ll have to pick up the civil war; they’ll never be able to enjoy the riches of that country of Iraq. Those arguments, even though they make sense, aren’t enough, and we’ve got to go further. The second element of the plan is how you use U.S. military withdrawals and redeployments, both within Iraq and within the region, to reinforce the kind of political settlement we would hope the Iraqis could reach. The chairman and I have a little disagreement over what that military plan should look like, because I don’t see it in terms of any fixed timetables. I see it more as a process that we ask our military to arrange with the Iraqi military over the course of, say, two years, where we can make adjustments according to the situation. Now, the withdrawal process opens up political doors for us that reinforce this decentralization or federal idea. In the first place, it allows us to move toward an alliance with many of the Sunnis in the center of that country, with the Ba’athists, with the sheikhs and with the secular leaders of that society. Because once they see we’re not going to be there and remain their central enemy, they can band with us against the common enemy, the terrorists in their midst: the jihadis, the al Qaeda people. And they are the common enemy for both of us. Those are the people who are destroying the homes of most of the Sunnis in the center of the country, destroying their lives. And once they see that we’re not there as a permanent military factor in the center of that country, we can begin to make that alliance with them. The same goes with the Shi’as. Once they see that we’re in the process of leaving, we can develop common interests with them as well. These are, in the last analysis, Iraqi Arab Shi’as, not Iranian Persian Shi’ites, and there’s an important historical difference there. And we can play on that in order to develop with the Shi’a that will help us advance a new government. There’s also a difference in religious tradition, where the Iraqi Shi’as are much less willing to have their high clergy be involved directly in government than the Iranian Shi’ites. So there’s area for us to work with, once they see we’re not going to be a permanent military presence. The diplomacy is the final factor here, and, as we see the diplomacy, it is not something that can create a solution, nor should we try to create or impose one on the Iraqis. The diplomacy can’t solve the problem within Iraq, but it can reinforce any kind of arrangement that the Iraqis themselves are moving toward. The Iranians or the Saudis are not going to impose a settlement on their allies within Iraq, but they’ll support something they themselves want to achieve. Now finally, Mr. Chairman, members, I know it’s very fashionable to talk about the United States being in a weak and waning position in the Middle East and the Gulf, and that Iran is in the ascendancy. I think this is nonsense. The United States is a great power. The Iranians are a puny power. Their importance in that area is temporary and based on the fact that the people of that area, the leaders, don’t see a coherent policy from the United States of America. When we have a coherent policy, those countries will come to us. After the Vietnam War, and it ended in an awful way, President Nixon and Secretary of State Kissinger had a coherent strategy, and the nations of Asia rallied to the United States because they did not want to see the United States weakened in their part of the world. The understood that they could not do what they wanted economically and protect their security without a strong United States and they rallied to us. The same will happen in the Middle East and Gulf once the leaders and peoples of that area of the world believe we have a sensible strategy and have returned to a commonsense approach to the area. I thank you very much for your attention. Transcribed by Federal News Service
  • Congresses and Parliaments
    Prepared Testimony before the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations
    Thank you for the opportunity to testify on the situation in Iraq and in particular on regional and global aspects of current U.S. policy in Iraq. I will not rehearse here today how we got to where we are—other than to say that the United States and the American people are paying a substantial price for the decision to attack Iraq and for subsequent decisions made in the aftermath of Iraq’s liberation. The decision to attack Iraq in 2003—a classic war of choice—was followed by numerous bad choices.The result is an early end to the era of American primacy in the Middle East and the emergence of a region far more likely to do damage to itself, the United States, and the world. To be sure, we now have an Iraq that is no longer ruled by a dictator and one in which the population has had an opportunity to vote on several occasions for either candidates or a constitution. But the more significant result is an Iraq that is violent, divided, and dangerous. The debate over whether what is taking place there constitutes a civil war is not productive. The reality is that Iraq is an unattractive hybrid: part civil war, part failed state, and part regional conflict.The Iraqi government is weak internally and challenged from without by terrorists, Sunni insurgents, and Shia militias. Shia domination of the south is near complete and growing in the center given ethnic cleansing and emigration. The Kurds are living a separate life in the country’s north. The Sunni minority sees itself as discriminated against; one consequence is that the bulk of the instability centers on the capital area and the west.The recent execution of Saddam Hussein is at once a reflection of the reality that has come to be Iraq and a development that exacerbated sectarianism. It reveals a lack of discipline and professionalism on the part of Iraqi authorities. What we saw represented more the politics of retribution than the rule of law.All of this has important consequences for the United States. Foreign policy must always be about achieving the best possible outcome. At times this can translate into lofty goals. This is not one of those times. It would be wiser to emphasize not what the United States can accomplish in Iraq but what it might avoid. Iraq is not going to be a model society or functioning democracy any time soon. We should expunge such words as “success” and “victory” from our vocabulary. Ambitious goals are beyond reach given the nature of Iraqi society and the number of people there prepared to kill rather than compromise to bring about their vision of the country’s future. We can let historians argue over whether ambitious goals were ever achievable; they are not achievable now.Assessing the SurgeThis is the context in which President Bush chose to articulate a new policy, one with an increase or surge in U.S. forces at its core. There are two reasons to support a surge in U.S. forces. One argument in its favor is the possibility it may work, that it might provide time and space for Iraqi authorities to introduce needed power and revenue sharing and to increase the quantity and, more important, improve the quality of Iraq’s military and police forces. To do this, a surge would have to be implemented in a manner that was non-sectarian and open-ended.The second argument in favor of a surge is that if it fails to turn things around and if Iraq descends further into violence and chaos, it will help to make clear that the onus for Iraq’s failure falls not on the United States (and not on any lack of U.S. commitment) but on the Iraqis themselves. At least in principle, such a perception would be less costly for the reputation of the United States than the judgment that Iraq was lost because of a lack of American staying power or reliability.    There are, however, several downsides to the decision to increase the number of U.S. forces in Iraq, including the basic problem that it may not achieve a meaningful improvement in stability and security for Iraqis. A surge is not a strategy; it is a tactic, a component of a larger policy. The premise behind the new policy seems to be that all the Iraqi government requires is a few months to get its house in order, to introduce much needed political and economic reforms that will assuage most Sunnis and military and police reforms that will make the country safer. But if the Iraqis were prepared to do what was needed, a surge would not be necessary. And if they are not willing and able to do what is called for, a surge will not be enough.More broadly, the United States requires an Iraqi government that is willing and able to take advantage of the opportunity a surge is designed to provide—and by “take advantage” I do not mean exploit it so as to strengthen Shia control. This may in fact be the fundamental flaw of the surge decision and U.S. policy. The U.S. goal is to work with Iraqis to establish a functioning democracy in which the interests and rights of minorities are protected. The goal of the Iraqi government appears to be to establish a country in which the rights and interests of the Shia majority are protected above all else.A second drawback of a surge is that it will entail real economic, military, and above all human costs. It is important to keep in mind that a surge is not an abstraction. It will change the lives of tens of thousands of families and individuals in this country—and bring to a premature end the lives of an unknown number of American men and women.A third drawback to a surge in U.S. forces is that if (as seems likely) it cannot alter the fundamental dynamics of Iraq, calls will mount here at home for a U.S. military withdrawal based on the judgment that the United States had done all it could and that doing more would be futile and costly. Ironically, doing more in the short run will make it more difficult to sustain a U.S. presence for the long run.There are thus good reasons to question the new U.S. approach to Iraq. But we should be no less clear about the drawbacks to the principal alternative. Opposition to a surge does not constitute a desirable strategy. A rapid withdrawal of U.S. forces would almost certainly intensify the civil conflict, produce a humanitarian disaster, provide a sanctuary and a school for terrorists, and draw in many of Iraq’s neighbors, turning Iraq and potentially much of the Middle East into a battleground.A rapid withdrawal of U.S. forces would also increase the costs to U.S. foreign policy more generally, as it would raise questions in the minds of friends and foes alike about U.S. predictability and reliability. Even some of the most vocal critics around the world of U.S. policy would be critical of a sudden end to U.S. involvement. And for good reason, as terrorists would be emboldened, countries such as Iran, North Korea, and Venezuela would be more prone to act assertively, and friends would be more likely to decrease their dependence upon the United States, something that could lead them either to reach new accommodations with others or to build up their own military might, including possibly reconsidering the utility of developing or acquiring nuclear weapons.   There is, however, an alternative to both a surge as defined by the administration and near-term withdrawal. It would entail gradual reductions in U.S. force levels, less participation in Iraq’s civil fighting, more emphasis on training and advising of military and police units, continuing work with local political leaders to forge compromise, and diplomacy designed to influence the behavior of Iraq’s neighbors. Call it “Iraqification” with a diplomatic dimension.Such an approach would not attempt to “solve” the Iraq problem. To the contrary, it is premised on the view that there is no major breakthrough to be produced by a surge or any other change in U.S. policy. It is similarly premised on the notion that Iraq will remain a messy and divided country for years, and the best and most the United States can hope to achieve is to keep open the possibility of something approaching normalcy until such a time most Shias and Sunnis are willing to embrace such a notion and take steps that would bring it about. In short, this third approach would buy time and give the Iraqis a chance to improve their lot—and in the process reduce the direct and indirect costs to the United States and to U.S. foreign policy.In considering the alternatives it pays to keep in mind that outsiders have three options when it comes to civil wars. One is to smother them. Alas, this has proven not to be achievable in Iraq. A second is to help or simply allow the stronger party—in this case Iraq’s Shia majority—to prevail.  This would be a terrible conclusion to the U.S. intervention. It would strengthen Iranian influence, cause a humanitarian tragedy, and likely lead to a regional conflict given concerns throughout the Arab world for their Sunni brothers and opposition to Iranian hegemony. A third option would be to accept that civil fighting will continue until it burns itself out, either from exhaustion or from a realization by most Iraqis and their external benefactors that no victory is possible and that peace and stability are preferable to continued conflict. Such an outcome will likely take many years to evolve. The best thing that can be said about it is that it is preferable to the scenario of a one-sided victory.  The Regional and Global Dimensions of U.S. PolicyAs the above makes clear, Iraq cannot be viewed in isolation. The president was right to recognize the regional component of Iraqi security. He was also right to claim that both Iran and Syria have acted in ways that have contributed to the challenges confronted by Iraq’s government and its people.But it is not at all apparent that widening the war to either or both countries would accomplish more than it would cost. Any attack on Iran or Syria runs the risk of leading either or both countries to intensify their actions in Iraq, including increasing the risk to U.S. personnel. And there is no reason they would be limited to reacting within Iraq. Iran in particular has the ability to act throughout the region and beyond given its ties to groups such as Hizbollah and Hamas.  More important, it is not clear why the administration continues to resist the suggestion put forward by the Iraq Study Group and others that it support the creation of a regional forum that would have as its mission to stabilize the situation in Iraq. What makes the most sense is a standing mechanism akin to the so-called “Six Plus Two” forum used to help manage events in Afghanistan. An Iraq forum—consisting of Iraq, its six immediate neighbors (Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey), and selected outsiders (possibly the five permanent members of the UN Security Council)—would provide a forum in which outside involvement in Iraq could be addressed. In particular, the United States and others could challenge Syria to do more to make it difficult for terrorists to enter into Iraq and Iran to curtail its support for terrorism.Why should the United States involve Iran and Syria, two countries that have more often then not exacerbated matters in Iraq? To begin with, neither has an interest in an Iraq that fails. The cohesion of both is vulnerable to Kurdish nationalism; the economies of both would be burdened by floods of refugees. Neither would benefit from conflicts with neighbors that could all too easily evolve out of an intensified civil war in Iraq that left the Sunnis vulnerable.Syria might be even more open to persuasion and compromise if the scope of talks were expanded to address concerns beyond Iraq. One can imagine a negotiation in which Israel would return the Golan Heights to Syria in return for a peace treaty, diplomatic relations, and a major reduction in Syrian support of both Hizbollah and Hamas. The United States would reduce or end economic and political sanctions in a context that included Syrian-Israeli normalization and enhanced Syrian efforts to police its border. The United States and Israel would also benefit from the cooling in Syrian-Iranian ties that would result. The United States should give Israel its blessing to explore this possibility with Damascus.Iran is a more difficult challenge, although here, too, one can imagine a broader package that would place an extremely low ceiling on any uranium enrichment activity Iran could undertake in exchange for the most stringent inspections. In exchange for such restraint, Iran would gain access to (but not physical control of) nuclear fuel for purposes of electricity generation. Other economic and diplomatic sanctions could be reduced depending on whether Iran was willing to curtail its support for terror and its opposition to Israel. Making such offers public—making it clear to the Iranian public how they would benefit from normal ties and how much they pay for Iran’s radical foreign policy—would place pressure on the government and increase the odds it will compromise.Implicit in all this is that the United States is willing to let go of its “regime change” ambitions toward Iran and Syria. This makes sense, because regime change is not going to come about soon enough to affect U.S. interests in Iraq or beyond. The United States should also jettison preconditions to sitting down and talking with either Syria or Iran.The fact that they are acting in ways the United States finds objectionable is reason to negotiate. What matters is not where you begin a negotiation but where you come out.There is, of course, no guarantee that these or similar diplomatic initiatives would bear fruit. Obviously, it would have been wiser to have approached both countries several years ago when the price of oil was lower and when the U.S. position in Iraq was stronger. Still, it is not clear how the United States would find itself worse off for having tried now. To the contrary, the failure of a diplomatic initiative widely perceived as fair and reasonable would make it less difficult for the United States to build domestic and international support for other, harsher policies towards Syria and Iran.The other regional matter that is garnering a great deal of attention of late is the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Obviously, progress here would be welcome and applauded.  No one—Palestinians, Israelis, or Americans—benefits from the current impasse. History, though, strongly suggests that negotiations tend to succeed only when certain critical elements are in place. In addition to a process and a formula that parties must be prepared to accept, there needs to be leaders on all sides who are both willing and able to compromise. It is not clear that such leadership currently exists on either side of this divide. The Olmert government is weak as a result of the widely judged failure of last year’s Lebanon incursion. The leadership of the Palestinian Authority appears willing to compromise but it is not clear it is strong enough to do so given the political and armed opposition of Hamas. Hamas, by contrast, might well be able to make peace if it so chose; the problem is that there is no evidence it is so disposed.In this circumstance, the most valuable thing the United States could do is to begin to articulate publicly its views of final status. This could be done either as part of Phase 3 of the Roadmap or apart from it. The United States has already done some of this, making clear in a letter to then-Prime Minister Sharon that the territorial dimension of any peace agreement would have to reflect Israeli security concerns and demographic realities, and that any Palestinian “right of return” would be limited to Palestine. It would be proper to state publicly as well that any peace would be based on the 1967 lines, that Palestinians would receive territorial compensation whenever there were deviations, and that they would receive economic compensation (and assistance more generally) to help deal with the refugee problem and more broadly the challenge of establishing a viable state. The United States could indicate its own readiness to be generous and gain pledges from Japan, the EU, and Arab governments to more than match American largesse.In suggesting this I want to be clear about two things. First, I am not recommending that negotiations be started now. Again, the situation is not ripe for that. But by articulating such commitments, the United States can alter the debate within the Palestinian society. Hamas needs to be pressed to explain why it resists negotiating with Israel and persists in violence when an attractive diplomatic settlement is available. The goal should be to strengthen the hand of Abu Mazen—or to create conditions in which Hamas evolves and moves away from violence. If and when such changes occur, prospects will improve for diplomacy between Israelis and Palestinians.Second, progress in the Palestinian issue will not affect the situation on the ground in Iraq. Iraqis are killing one another for many reasons, but promoting a Palestinian state is not one of them. Still, investing more in this issue makes sense on its merits and as one way of giving America’s Sunni friends a positive development to point to, something that will bolster their domestic standing and make it less difficult for them to be seen to be cooperating with the United States.It is also important to look beyond the immediate region of the Middle East. The United States could enter into bilateral talks with North Korea and present it with a comprehensive proposal that would attempt to induce it (as well as pressure it) to give up its nuclear program. The United States could introduce ideas about how to slow climate change. Trade negotiations are stalled and could be jump-started. There is a genocide in Darfur that needs to be stopped. Afghanistan is deteriorating; economic, military, and diplomatic resources are needed urgently if that country is not going to resemble Iraq in several years time. Much more can and should be done to enhance the security of the American homeland. And there is the crying need for an energy policy that will reduce American use of oil and gas and reduce our dependence on imports (U.S. vulnerability to both price hikes and supply interruptions) and slow the flow of dollars to governments that in many cases are carrying out policies inimical to U.S. interests.  Iraq gets in the way of much of this. It is simply absorbing too many resources. The military commitment there leaves the United States with little leverage to apply elsewhere and little capacity to use if situations warrant. Iraq is also absorbing economic resources, resources that could and should be used for everything from military modernization to other pressing domestic and international needs. Iraq contributes to anti-Americanism and makes it more difficult for the United States to drum up support for its policies. It also requires a great deal of time and political capital, time and effort that could better be spent on building support at home and abroad for other policies. And an emphasis on Iraq also carries with it a longer-term risk: if things continue to go badly, it becomes more likely that we will suffer a collective allergy (an “Iraq syndrome”) that will constrain the ability of this country to be as active in the world as it needs to be.In short, the time has come for the post-Iraq era of American foreign policy to get under way. Such a transition is long overdue. I have written at length on the proposition that this moment of history is one of unprecedented opportunity. Not having to worry about the prospect of major power conflict, the United States is free to devote the bulk of its resources to dealing with the local, regional, and global challenges of our era. What is more, it has the potential to enlist the active support of the other major powers—China, Europe, India, Japan, Russia, and others—in tackling these challenges. But so long as Iraq drains American resources, distracts its attention, and distances others from us, we will not be able to translate this opportunity into reality. Worse yet, the opportunity will fade. We should keep in mind that it will be Iraqis who will largely determine their own fate. Only by reducing the American stake in Iraq and by re-focusing our energies elsewhere will we place ourselves in a position to improve our own.  
  • Iraq
    Cordesman: ’Victory’ in Iraq Possible But Not Probable
    Anthony H. Cordesman, a leading strategic analyst of the Iraqi war, says the Bush administration’s latest strategy on Iraq makes victory there “possible” but “the problem is it also isn’t probable.”
  • Democracy
    Impediments to National Reconciliation in Iraq
    A cessation to the violence in Iraq cannot come about without some kind of national reconciliation between the country’s warring factions. But previous reconciliation efforts by Shiite leaders have failed to entice Sunnis into the political fold. What are the prospects for success now?
  • Iraq
    A Conversation with Tariq al-Hashimi
    Play
    Watch Iraqi Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi discuss the current situation in Iraq, particularly the Shia-Sunni sectarian conflict.
  • Iraq
    Tariq al-Hashimi
    Play
    Council on Foreign Relations, New York City, New YorkDecember 20, 2006ANNE GARRELS:  Hello, ladies and gentlemen.  I'd like to convene the meeting and welcome you all.  Thank you.  My name is Anne Garrels, with National Public Radio, and it's my delight to have a conversation with Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi. You all have a copy of his bio, so I don't need to go into that.  But I would note that he was probably the first Sunni politician to fully engage in the political process, and for that he has paid a very heavy price.  Two of his brothers and his sister have been killed in the sectarian violence that is tearing Iraq apart.  I think we're very fortunate to have him with us today.  And may I just remind you all -- house rules -- please remember to turn off your cell phones, BlackBerries and all other wireless equipment you might be carrying.This meeting is on the record.  Council members around the nation and the world will be participating via a teleconference.And first of all, I would like to invite the vice president to come to the podium.  He wishes to make a few remarks, and then we will begin the conversation.  Thank you.  (Applause.)VICE PRESIDENT TARIQ AL-HASHIMI:  Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon.  I really feel grateful for this golden opportunity that -- given to myself and my delegation.  Might be this is the first time that one of the key personnel of the Sunni communities in Iraq -- contributing and enhancing the ongoing discussion and dialogue on the Iraq issue.I feel grateful for this -- opportunities and the invitation given to me by the council, and hopefully at the end of this discussion, we will jointly contribute in painting a new picture for all Iraqi social segments and sects, affiliations. And as I used to be in all my life as a frank talker, I'll speak in this occasion as being the secretary-general of the Iraqi Islamic Party, one of the leaders of al-Tawafuq Front, and not necessarily in the capacity of being a vice president.Thank you very much.GARRELS:  Well, I hope that this means that you'll be even franker than usual, if you're not speaking as the vice president.  (Chuckles.)  AL-HASHIMI:  (Chuckles.)  GARRELS:  So -- first question:  What is your most optimistic evaluation of what could happen in the next year, or your most pessimistic one? AL-HASHIMI:  If I am not optimistic, I shouldn't be in power.  I'll continue my obligations towards my people, to my country, and until further notice, I should feel optimistic.And there is a real opportunity, in fact, for the country to be -- to rebound, to salvage from the current dilemma.GARRELS:  How?AL-HASHIMI:  We do have in fact various problems that -- challenging that work process -- time being, and on top of all, the violence, which -- becoming an overwhelming phenomena, unfortunately, in certain areas, in certain provinces in Iraq, and these could be tackled in much better way than used to be so far.  And I hope that as time comes for the American administration to revise the strategy they have adopted from (A to zero ?), and for the Iraqi government to shoulder responsibilities, to shoulder the burden and to tackle the sources of violence in the way which could meet the actual challenge and (fate ?) of this violence.GARRELS:  I think everyone here is extremely familiar with what the administration has done so far in Iraq.  What specifically would you like to see the administration do now?AL-HASHIMI:  First of all, I'm expecting in fact a brand-new strategy they have to be adopted.  In the provinces of Sunni-dominating, what they have done so far in -- especially in Anbar, it's really counterproductive.  And time comes in fact to revise the strategy.GARRELS:  Are you talking about --AL-HASHIMI:  According to General Casey report, the manpower of al Qaeda in Iraq is not exceeding 1,000.  And the way the American administration meeting this challenge is so far by using an excess of force, by (mass destruction ?) of innocent people houses, and they are pushing the young people in fact to be more extremist.  This policy must be changed, because it's proved to be counterproductive.GARRELS:  And what about the -- I mean, the Maliki government too must invest in Anbar.  Is that what you're -- is it a two-pronged --AL-HASHIMI:  The time being a factor, is -- Anbar being so far (based on ?) the exclusive responsibilities of the coalition forces.  We just tried weeks ago, in fact, to share responsibilities with the American troops, and we managed, in fact, to conclude a significant success in challenging the terrorism there.  But I need -- we need -- it might be too much, in fact, to have a new chapter in Al Anbar.GARRELS:  When you saw the president, did you -- what did you say to him about American troops?  Do you want them to stay?  Do you want a firm timetable?  What exactly did you -- do you think is the answer?AL-HASHIMI:  The American administration should continue and should honor exclusively their commitments to the Iraqi people.  One of the problems facing the security file in general is the shortage and the incompetent troops in Iraq.  It might be shocking to you when I said that out of 135,000 soldiers within the coalition spectrum, you do have only between 20,000 and 25,000 considered as a combat soldiers, and the rest -- 100,000 of the coalition forces are acting only as logistic troops.  They are not in combat.  So in taking only 25,000 in this sort of violence that we are facing in Iraq, we just immediately reach a conclusion that 25,000 to address the violence in Iraq is really meaningless.  We need additional troops, in fact, to put things in order, especially in -- (inaudible word) -- violent towns and areas, provinces such as Al Anbar, such as Diyala, such as Baghdad.I ask, Mr. President, please don't televise your strategy under the pressure of the car bombs and the side bombs and the kidnapping and sectarian killings.  Take your time.  Devise it quietly, in fact.  We need a new strategy.  We need a new chapter for Iraq, in fact.  But don't formalize that under pressure of the tension and the violence in Iraq.GARRELS:  So what should the troops, say, be doing in Anbar?  If -- I mean you criticize their behavior so far.AL-HASHIMI:  Yes.GARRELS:  What should they actually be doing there, then, if you have increased numbers of troops there?AL-HASHIMI:  No, no.  I'm not talking about Al Anbar specifically; in fact, I'm talking in general.  Timing is quite unfortunate, to say.  As a national armed forces, we do not have so far a competent and sufficient national armed forces to rely on and to help the coalition forces, in fact, either to pull out from the center of the cities or to go back home, for instance. We don't have (timing ?), in fact, we have problem thanks (to) Ambassador Bremer, who established this national army on wrong, wrong basis -- nonprofessional, non-patriotic.  I just give you just an example of what they had -- what he has done.  So far, 5,000 of Ministry of Interior police in different ranks being kicked out because of their crime record.  This is the -- this type of security forces we do have in Iraq.  You just imagine if your police in New York is managed or leader by Ku Klux Klan, for instance.  We do have leaders now in high ranks in Ministry of Interior, which they are managing, that is corrupt, and they are called militias.  This is the problem that we are facing currently.At the end of the day, we can't consider the national forces are reliable, trustworthy, non-corrupted, professional or trustworthy.  So until further notice, we will rely on the coalition forces, primarily the American troops, because, first of all, they do have a commitment to the Iraqi people, and two, we do have our own national armed forces built on professionalism, built on well-known criterias.  At that time, in fact, definitely we will welcome any pullout from Iraq, in fact, and we will very much interest -- we will be very happy that those soldiers back to their family as soon as possible.GARRELS:  It is indeed in Anbar with the predominantly Sunni community that the U.S. is having some of the greatest problems -- the U.S. military.  You're sort of caught between extremist Shi'a and extreme Sunnis.AL-HASHIMI:  Yes.GARRELS:  And for you to take the position that there should be more U.S. troops is just going to get you into hotter water with certain Sunnis.  How can you bring them to the table?  AL-HASHIMI:  Well, we have to differentiate between two groups.  The terrorists belong to al Qaeda.  They do have an international agenda.  It's not actually related to Iraq.  They are fighting Americans.  In fact, that's part of their international agenda, and they are going to continue.  Even if tomorrow, in fact, we kick them out from Iraq, they will go elsewhere and continue fighting, in fact, Americans and other countries.  They have no other language to address but to use bombs.  That's it.  The second group, which is more related to the Sunni communities, is -- you call it insurgents, we call it resistance.  They are very much prepared to contribute and to participate in the political process as long as we offer to them doable, a workable, a significant project to accommodate them.  And my message to them, in fact, over past weeks -- clearly, through the media -- the time comes the game is now different.  2003, 2004, at that time there could be some understanding why they are fighting the Americans, but now we need them, in fact, to come to discuss around table what they need, in which way they are dreaming to be a partner, a contributor in the political process.  It's quite unfortunate, so far, regardless of my appeal -- personal appeal to both the American administration as well as to the government -- to put forward some sort of doable project to accommodate them, the equal -- response from both parties was discouraging so far.  Before I left Baghdad to United States, people had significant connection to the insurgents, and they just convey a message to me, that I have to convey to the American administration, that they are prepared to sit down around table and to discuss and to stop killing the Americans.  I'll struggle my way until I get those people, because they are honest people, they are fully appreciating the political process, and they are very much interested to be a partner in the very near future.  All that's needed for that is a project to get them in.  This is the missing circle in the whole crisis, time being.  So those people shouldn't be considered as any other terrorists.  GARRELS:  Are those -- as it's called, the honorable resistance -- are they putting preconditions, though, for talks?  What is the impediment?  AL-HASHIMI:  No, they didn't, so far, in fact.  On the contrary, in fact, what they said -- they don't want, in fact, to have some sort of conditions from the American side, or even from the government, time being.  They are open-minded. But I understand, in fact, one of the things which left missing, in fact.  The American administration, in fact, in our field, they tried to make things difficult to them and put them in a very hard position.  When they put as a condition that they should shoulder their responsibilities and fight al Qaeda before they come to talk to the Americans, this is a very, very difficult condition.  I hope time comes, in fact, to be more flexible from all parties.  We do have a common goal.  We are dreaming on the same parameters of the future, and definitely that future should leave no access to extremists.  An open-minded, an encouraging project, there would be a genuine chance for the resistance, in fact, to come and to be a real partner in the political process. GARRELS:  I'm sure there will be questions about your relationship with Maliki later.  But I specifically want to ask -- the Pentagon in the last few days has cited Muqtada al-Sadr as being probably the greatest -- one of the greatest threats.  Muqtada al-Sadr has also cast himself as a nationalist who can align himself with the Sunnis.  On the other hand, in Baghdad, the Mahdi Army is widely believed to be behind much, if not all, of the sectarian killings.  Do you agree with the Pentagon's evaluation that he is one of the most dangerous people, most dangerous players in Iraq right now?AL-HASHIMI:  If Muqtada al-Sadr is proven to be seen that he is behind all these massacres, the sectarian killing, definitely he should be described like that.  So far, in fact, we try to (dig in ?) the mind and the organization of the Sadrist tie.  All these raids on the Sunni houses, areas in Baghdad, in fact, done by a militia, they presented themselves that they belonged to al-Mahdi Army.  When they come and attack, they said, "We are al-Mahdi Army, we are from Sadrists, we are belong to -- loyal to Muqtada al-Sadr."  If all these activities, all those guns, are actually part of the Sadrists and they are (coming dark ?) under his control, definitely Muqtada al-Sadr is the man that you have described. GARRELS:  Do you believe that they are working under the organization's orders, or do you subscribe to the view that they're renegade?AL-HASHIMI:  (Inaudible) -- in fact.  I think, to be frank with you, in fact, Baghdad now, and Iraq, has become a theater for different and variety of nations on the globe, in fact, to make things very, very difficult to the Iraqis.  It's really difficult to say who was behind what.  This is just part of the dilemma that we are facing the time being.  All the intelligence of the whole nations now very active.  They have very active presence in Iraq.  And everybody has its own agenda, and you just imagine the chaos that we are living in because of this interference.GARRELS:  I think at this point I'm going to open the questions up to the floor.  Could you wait for a microphone and speak directly into it.  And please give your name and affiliation, and stand, if you would.  And please limit yourself to one question and keep it as concise as possible.QUESTIONER:  Jane Bryant Quinn of Newsweek magazine.  You mentioned the desire of the Sunni community to have some kind of a program or project that they could then cooperate on.  Could you outline what that would be, and also what you see as an oil deal, division of the oil deal.AL-HASHIMI:  Division of the oil?QUESTIONER:  Of the Iraq -- oil.AL-HASHIMI:  And the first one was?QUESTIONER:  And the first one was what the Sunni community would see as an acceptable deal, a project that would bring them into the entire Iraqi coalition.AL-HASHIMI:  Yeah.  Okay, thank you very much, ma'am.As far as the first question is concerned, first of all, the resistance would like in fact to see that somebody to appreciate what they have done so far, in fact, regardless of the killings of the Americans, their sacrifices and the casualties.  They said we need somebody in fact to recognize that what we have done is legitimate, is legitimate because we consider our country as being occupied, and we are just fighting against occupation, simple as that.  This is the first issue.The second issue, in fact, they would like to see a genuine, doable access for them equally to other political parties who are already in the political process.  They shouldn't be in fact given just a marginalized access.  They want to be in fact a contributor in that equally to others.The third question is that the American troops, the American administration should be committed with a timetable, conditional withdrawal from Iraq.  This is very important.  It's quite unfortunate, regardless, again, of my appeal to the American administration through various media that I have done and even recently through the prime minister, Mr. Blair.  I just convinced him about my theme, and he gave conference and he promised me that he's going to discuss the subject with President Bush.  But at the end of the day, it's quite unfortunate, in fact your president made some sort of brainwashing for Mr. Blair, in fact, that we're back with Mr. Blair, in fact, to square one.  He's just back to his adamancy that we really can't, in fact, Mr. Hashimi, we can't announce that; we're afraid that we'll pass a false message to terrorism that we gave up because of their threat. I understand that.  So, okay, I said, let us make some sort of amendment to the theme.  Say it in this way:  timetable conditional withdrawal.  Conditional means that you rebuild the Iraqi armed forces on professional basis.  The time comes that this project is concluded, there should be no excuse for U.S. have to stay in Iraq.  So your withdrawal, in fact, will be tailor-made to the time scale -- the timetable of refurbishing, restructuring, training, supplying arms/equipment to the armed forces.  At that time, there will be no need somebody else, in fact, to shoulder responsibilities of the security in Iraq in general and Baghdad in particular.About distribution of oil, it's -- this subject, in fact, is -- as you're fully aware, is related to the constitution.  This document, the high valuable -- the invaluable document, it is -- (time being ?), in fact the Iraqi community is being divided severely, and it's becoming a disputable -- a real disputable document.  And if we are looking forward to have a compact, Iraqi community will have to make a genuine remedy for this chapter.  And part of it is through distribution of oil resources.QUESTIONER:  Thank you.  (Inaudible.)  My name is Roland Paul.  I'm a lawyer.  Some years ago I was in the U.S. government.What is the level and nature of the assistance coming across the Syrian border for the -- what you call the Iraqi resistance?AL-HASHIMI:  Well, I don't recall, in fact, figures time being, in fact, but definitely our neighbors east and west, in fact, make things difficult to us.  And both parties used to be very generous, in fact, in supplying weaponry, technology, money, and sending of troublemakers, people, to Iraq.  This is becoming a phenomena.  I'm sorry to -- I can't answer your question, in fact, in giving facts and figure on that, but it's well known now.  It is a national consensus that the help is coming from the east and west.  It's quite unfortunate.GARRELS:  Just to follow up on that, I mean, of late, as the sectarian violence gets worse in Iraq, Saudi clerics speaking on behalf of the Sunnis have expressed their support for the Sunni side and talked about getting more involved.  What is your response to that?AL-HASHIMI:  I don't like that.  It's really, in fact, fueling the sectarian tension.  I don't like that.  I need somebody else, in fact, to help Iraqis, in fact, for their reconciliation project.  I regard this -- I must be frank with your think tank -- regardless of what you will hear from the media, believe it or not, none of the Arabs, (time being?), in fact, helping the Arab Sunnis in Iraq.I am now in my capacity as secretary-general of the Iraqi Islamic Party.  I haven't got any sort of support from any different countries who could be a candidate for that.  I don't like, in fact, that this support coming through the media and puts me in a very difficult situation that all what I am behind is to be involved in sectarian tension.  We live in Iraq centuries, in fact, Shi'a and Sunni, as a brother, a coexistence.  And I personally, and my party, is going to struggle and to fight until we get the Shi'a with the Sunni joining forces to rebuild Iraq.  There is no other way.I shoulder my responsibilities.  I'm not going to talk on behalf of the Sunnis; I am going to talk on behalf of all Iraqis.  This is the only language.  The only project that could put an end for the Iraqi dynamo is to go back to the national common interests of Iraq.  That's it.  We don't like, in fact, that to people now, the sectarian, the violence between the Sunni and Shi'a or between the Kurdish and the Arabs.I am very much like, in fact, to live like you are living now in the States.  The majority, for instance, Anglo-Saxon; nevertheless, Anglo-Saxon roots, they are treated according to the law, like whoever might be immigrant from Italy, from Africa, from Indonesia, from everywhere.  We would like to see this sort of community in Iraq.  But everybody is going to be seeing himself equal to his brother, Shi'a and Sunni, Kurdish, Christian, whoever might be.The common interests of Iraq is the ultimate goal of the Iraqis that we have to focus on, and we need your help in this regard.QUESTIONER:  My name is Richard Hottelet.  I'm a journalist.You speak of a -- of a dialogue, and you mentioned the need to come to terms with -- honorable terms with the Shi'a majority.  What is the -- what is the basis?  What is the modus vivendi between the two?  What is the common denominator?  What is the essence of the interest?  I mean, national interest is out the window at the moment; they are fighting each other.  How can you -- what can be done to end the sectarian strife and find a modus vivendi -- find a common denominator for both sides to live together and live together serving their own interests?AL-HASHIMI:  Believe it or not, I know that everybody, in fact, talks of this tension in Baghdad and the violence and define it as a sectarian tension.  This is a phenomena.  Iraq is now an instrument for the sectarian tension, and they are the victims as well.Iraqis has no interest, in fact, to fight each other.  This fight becomes meaningless.  What we are going to achieve?  There is no way, in fact, for the Shi'a to dominate Iraq without the Sunni participation.  How they are going to live, in fact, in the whole Arab regional influence?  Majority of them are Sunni.  How?  They can't.And what the point is in kicking out the Sunnis from Baghdad as (is the phenomena ?), time being, in fact, and taking the shape of sectarian cleansing in Baghdad, quite unfortunately? This recipe is a foreign recipe, is not a national one.  Believe it or not, the Iraqis are victimized of this sectarian tension.  Why I am saying that?  What sort of evidence I have is the history, the background. Even through Saddam Hussein, we used to live in fact as brothers, in a unique coexistence.  And this happened in fact over centuries of time.  And we will continue on that. First of all, we do have a common interest.  We have the unity of Iraq as a common interest.  We have the stability of Iraq as common interest.  We have the prosperity of Iraq as a common interest (of land ?).  We have real noble goals, in fact, for all Iraqis in fact to fight and struggle to achieve them.And if you see -- if you talk to the politicians, you will see that their language -- more or less no difference.  We are talking the same goals, which reflect what I have said now.  This sectarian tension is non-national.  It is a foreign -- it is the result of the foreign interference -- somebody else who has an interest, in fact, to keep weakening Iraq.  I don't know the bottom line of this agenda, but there are many in fact who make things very, very difficult to the Iraqis, as well as to the Americans.  Time being, I see no point in fact in killing the American soldiers.  Why you are killing them?  It's quite clear that they are very much interested in fact to go home.Try to build a new relationship with the Americans to assist us in rebuilding Iraq, but we should try in fact to pass an encouraging message to them, in fact to secure the lives of the soldiers.  And believe it or not, now I am very much interested in fact for the Americans to protect my people.  I am calling now around the clock:  Please come and protect me, because of the militia, because the incompetent, the corrupted police.  So if I am calling the Americans, on one side, to protect me, what's the point in killing those soldiers?  We should try our best in fact to go in a new strategy, as I said, in fact, and there is an opportunity to mitigate, to calm down the situation in fact, and to (get all those resistant ?), sometimes killing the American soldiers -- isolate them from the terrorism.  At that time, we will have a joint target to address and overcome the tension and the threat. In addition to the point that I have raised, we need in fact to revise the political process.  We have a pending constitution that we have to amend as well.  We have, unfortunately, in fact, a paralyzed parliament, time being, because of the sectarian quota.  The Kurdish should have this seat; the Sunnis should have this seat, number of seats; the Shi'a should have this number of seats.  This (creed be pleased ?) doesn't work in a modern society, and we should be treated like other nations on the world.This quota, this sectarian formula, doesn't work in Iraq.  Please.  We should be equal -- Shi'a or Sunni, Kurdish, Christian, everybody.  Like you live here in the States, we are dreaming in fact to have the same opportunities to live on our territory, like the Americans.  In doing so, we have to revise many things that has been considered as a fact, a holy fact, and -- (inaudible) -- and irrevocable.  We have to revise them if we are genuinely, honestly looking for a quick remedy for the dire situation in Iraq.GARRELS:  You've made your unhappiness with Prime Minister Maliki known.  It's no secret.  But how -- and your unhappiness based on the fact that the -- he has not fulfilled his promises as the head of a unity government.AL-HASHIMI:  That's right.GARRELS:  What can the political parties do to push him to fulfill promises or push him out, if need be?AL-HASHIMI:  Well, yes, first of all, I would like to confirm that regardless of our personal relationship, I do have my own reservations on his performances so far.It's a matter of fact that before the establishment of the current government, we had in fact various key agreements that has been violated from A to Z, and created this current tension, in fact, in Iraq.  We don't want in fact to kick him out, and this is the responsibilities of the parliament.  It is not the political party, in fact.  It is not only my views.  The problem, reservation, is not only on himself as a prime minister -- he's just the leader of the Cabinet, the ministerial council.  I'm sure I'm to say that this ministerial council are not to the level that we are expecting from the beginning.  We will try our best.  We had -- in fact, before I left the state, we had a tough but sincere and open discussion for all the commitments that has been violated.  And my view, in fact -- even when I talked to the administration, in fact -- we should give a chance to the prime minister, tailor-made to a timetable, that he should fulfill all the promises that he is obliged to.  If not, definitely, for the sake of the interest of the country, we should think on other options.GARRELS:  Sir?  QUESTIONER:  Bob Lifton, Medis Technologies.The Iraq Study Group and President Carter have both attributed significance to the Israeli-Palestinian continuing conflict as a factor in the settlement of Iraq.  Do you see any relationship between that, the outside intelligence parties that you talked about, and any way of creating peace in Iraq?AL-HASHIMI:  Yeah, and first of all, I must be frank with you, in fact:  What's going on in Iraq is hurting the Arab national security.  Total stability is going to serve the Arab national security.  This is why I'm encouraging all neighboring countries, in fact, to shoulder their responsibilities and try to mitigate the tension and help Iraqis to bridge the relationship between them.I see this conclusion as one of the significant conclusions that has been tabled by this committee.  He tried to address the Syrian issues quite different from the Iranian issues.  And he said quite carefully and openly that if the Syrians give them some sort of encouragement related to their occupied territories, they could be open-minded and behave differently than they are doing, time being, in making things difficult to the Iraqis as well as to the Americans.  (Inaudible) -- the Iraq situation is becoming related to the security of the whole region.  Yeah.QUESTIONER:  Gary Rosen from Commentary Magazine.  You said that the Sunni insurgency or resistance is open to some kind of deal that would bring them into this national political project.  I'm wondering, in your experience, are Iraqi Sunnis reconciled to the fact that they are now a minority in this country that they have ruled for all of its modern existence and will, under any future democratic government, continue to be a minority?  Or are there still factions within the Sunni community that imagine a time in the future when they might again rule this country?AL-HASHIMI:  I don't like to talk on Sunni and Shi'a.  Although people look to popularize that he's one of the Sunni leaders, I am in my capacity, in fact, belong to all Iraqis.  And I very much like, in fact, time comes to talk Iraqis rather than to talk Sunni and to talk Shi'a.  But I would like you, in fact, to help me in this regard.One of the -- I said, in fact, that the political process has been established on some false information.  And I'm going to repeat it, in fact, regardless of the sensitivity of these basics, which somebody called them -- (inaudible) -- irrevocable, unnegotiable.  Why would they say it?  Someone said the Shi'a is majority and Sunnis is minority.  I don't know.  But who, on what basis, what reference you have, when somebody is saying that the Shi'a has 60 percent and the Sunni is 20 percent, or even less, and the Kurdish 20 percent, I don't know who is.We don't have this statistics in Iraq.  I ask somebody in Washington to give me a clue on this fact.  Nobody, in fact, could prove that.  I don't admit that the Shi'a could be a majority, but I would like to be scientifically on that.  I would like to see the source of that.  I would be very happy if the Shi'a is proved to be, scientifically, and there is a genuine record on that, that they are 70 percent of the Iraq population.  Until that's proved scientifically, please, don't keep saying that this part, this sect is majority and this sect is minority.Regardless of that, even if -- say that Christian now is a minority.  That this means that the -- those people should be treated as second-class people because of their different religion because Iraqis are -- majority are Muslim?  We look to them as a second class?  We are look to them in different vision, different treatment?  You like that?  Why the problem -- now we're talking about the Sunni and Shi'a, majority/minority.  Regardless of that, whoever might be, even one single Iraqi, he should be treated himself as equal as anybody else -- which means if he's eligible, if he's qualified to be the president of Iraq, he should go for that and be a candidate for this position.  What of this (posited ?) that majority and minority.  This is quite unfortunate.  And besides, you are think tank.  Check about that, see what sort of percentages.Second, Saddam Hussein was a Sunni regime.  Saddam Hussein wasn't a Sunni regime.  Who says so?  Out of the wanted leaders of the high-rank Ba'athists 55 list, 35 of them Shi'a, not Sunni; 35 Shi'a, 20 Sunni.  Saddam Hussein wasn't, in fact, a Sunni.  He's a criminal; he's a dictator against all.  I am one of the victims of Saddam Hussein.  I am a Sunni.The Iraqi Islamic Party is, in fact, had many sacrifices in young leaders -- (inaudible) -- in the '80s and in the '90s, and they are Sunnis.  Everybody hurt, in fact, because of Saddam Hussein.  Yes, might be the majority of the cost shouldered that by our brothers, the Shi'a, but nevertheless, the Sunni are contributed in that, the Kurdish are contributed, the Turkomen, everybody contributed.  This is the second false base that has -- the political process that has been built.The third one.  The Shi'a was not in power since I don't know many years.  Time counts; they should shoulder the responsibilities and kick out.  And they should exercise exclusively the power, and there should be no contribution, no participation from other communities, Sunni and the rest.  You see?You put these basics, and when the governing council established, Bremer very much time for his teams and behaviors and the policy that he adopted, he translate these (posited ?), the false information, into a quarter in the governing council, and say the 50 of the -- 50 percent of the seats should go to the Shi'a, 25 percent of the Sunni, 20 percent I don't know to whom, and he make this segregation from the beginning.  Now we are paying a cost for what has happened in 2003.Please, what I have said, try to study it carefully.  If we are very much interested, in fact, to see a better future for this country, help us; that all Iraq is going to see themselves are equal.  Go to Jefferson, talks what he has said:  liberty of the people, equality of the people.  We are dreaming, in fact, to have some future in Iraq.  Help us in this regard.QUESTIONER:  My name is Kenneth Bialkin.First of all, I think we all admire your courage and resonate your sense of unity with an Iraqi government and hope you succeed.  You mentioned in your remarks that the Sunnis sometimes regard themselves as resistance and sometimes as insurgent, but I think most people look at the insurgency and look at the violence that comes as originating in the insurgency movement, which is largely Sunni, whatever their reason.As an Iraqi government official, how would you react, and how do you think the Sunni population would react, if the Iraqi government determined to concentrate all of its force in the suppression of insurgency, recognizing that it might be directly primarily against the Sunni?  Do you think, as an Iraqi government person, you would support such an effort of concentrated effort on suppression of insurgency?  How would it work?  And how would the Sunni population react to it?AL-HASHIMI:  I would be committed with whatever decision taken by the government.  I am just part of the government.  I'll be very frank and discuss these very sensitive issues, in fact, amicably.  And whatever decision taken, I'll be just part of it, regardless who -- what sort of society, what part of the society is going to be targeted for this decision or that decision.  This is one.And second, as I told you, in fact, time being is that -- is the coalition forces is in charge of battling this violence against them, the terrorism plus the insurgents, not the Iraqi forces, not the national Iraq forces who is shouldering responsibility for that.And the third issue is the war against the American in Iraq is not between the Sunni and the Americans.  Don't get this misleading conclusion, please.  We do have a Shi'a -- Muqtada al-Sadr now against the American because they consider them as occupier, and their al-Mahdi group are fighting the Americans and killing them.  And they are fighting the coalition forces in the southern area dominated by the Shi'a.  Now Basra becoming a troublesome area for the British, and who is in there in Basra?  The Shi'a are in Basra.  The minority are Sunni, and there is no insurgency of Sunni in Basra.  But who is killing the British?  The Shi'a.So it is not only -- please, this is a very important issue, and I would like to take this subject very sincerely and circulate it inside the American community and society.  It is not -- the war is not between the Sunni and the American, please.The problems is the timetable withdrawal.  If you declare that tomorrow, the tension is going to be mitigated not only in the Sunni side, the Shi'a side as well, because everybody cautious, in fact, about the future.  The American administration left it vague.  They didn't say clearly, in fact.  What is the ultimate mission that they are going to fulfill?  Nobody knows.  How long they are going to stay in Iraq, (for instance ?)?  As an Iraqi -- I am also vice president -- I would like very much to see that Iraq is free tomorrow, and to assist all those families waiting their sons to receive them back as soon as possible, in fact, and to stop and to put an end for this -- for the tragedy.  I be very much on the same side and the same time I would like to see my own national armed force, in fact, to shoulder responsibilities and secure the situation in Iraq.QUESTIONER:  Thank you.  Kimberly Martin from Barnard College, Columbia University.Mr. Vice President, you've talked about the importance of having a timetable that is based on the Iraqi security forces being able to protect the population, and you've also talked about the Iraqi security forces having problems with corruption and incompetence.  How do we move from here to there?  What will it take to get an Iraqi security force that is actually non-corrupt and competent so that the U.S. can leave?AL-HASHIMI:  What we have -- what we should have, in fact, a comprehensive, in fact, and a roundtable discussion and consensus agreement and plan to reshuffle and training, restructure the armed forces.  I could say easily, in fact, between one year, one-and-a-half years, this plan could go forward and implemented.One of the main and can speed up this plan is to call the ex-army -- the ex-units of the old army rather than to call individuals.  Time being, recruitment done on an individual basis.  We should change the system.  We should all units, say the battalion number one belong to brigade number two, division number three, they should come, so-and-so did, and specify the area.  The whole bunch of the people come.In doing so, you will speed up the plan.  In the same time, you will get rid of the sectarian problems because these divisions, in fact, comprises Shi'a, Sunni, Christian, Kurdish in the same time.  So there is no excuse for anybody, in fact, to kick out the Sunnis and welcome the Shi'a, kick out the Kurdish and welcome the Arabs, you see?This proposal, I put it forward to the American administration.  I am hopefully that this will be -- is going to be welcomed, is going to speed up the recruitment of that, to reform the Iraqi army, and the same time get rid of the sectarian problem (and condition ?).GARRELS:  Sir.QUESTIONER:  Merritt Fox, Columbia University.If the different groups can reach some kind of agreement about division of oil, what --AL-HASHIMI:  I'm sorry, sir, what groups you mean?QUESTIONER:  If the different political groups within Iraq --AL-HASHIMI:  Yes.QUESTIONER:  -- can reach some kind of compact or agreement about the division of oil in terms of revenues to different regions, what kind of device could make those promises to each other credible?  And would there be a role for international institutions or outside powers in guaranteeing that agreement?AL-HASHIMI:  Well, time being, in fact, there is an article in the constitution saying that the oil and gases belong to all Iraqis, which means that the central government should be in charge, in the driving seat in contacting whoever who might be foreign investor.  We do have some dispute about the sharing of the crude oil revenues on that, and this is under revision because this contradiction in the constitution, in fact, doesn't allow major oil companies, in fact, to come and invest in Iraq.  So there is no way in front of Iraqis but to come together, in fact, and try to amend the articles concerned and to have some sort of open-minded, based on international experience.At the end of the day, whoever might be responsible for the contract, that article would say that oil and gas belong to all Iraqis, everybody should enjoy the returns of this crude oil, and there should (sic) be any sort of discrimination between one province to another province.  And we do have, in fact, I think, the second reservoir in the world, so we have enough resource, in fact, to get everybody happy in the future.GARRELS:  Karen, did you --QUESTIONER:  I wanted to ask -- (off mike).  Karen House, a journalist.  What can you do to try to encourage Sunnis to join the army?  I mean, you laid out your call in whole units, but isn't that one of the problems now, that if you can't rely on the U.S. to protect Iraqi nationals, then you have to have an army, and right now Sunnis don't seem to want to be part of it or aren't joining it in very large numbers?AL-HASHIMI:  Yes, that's the thing.  We had some problem in the past, in fact, for the Sunni communities to come and to participate and to be soldiers in the newborn army.  The time being the situation is quite changed.  They are very much interested, in fact, to work in the army as well as in the security forces.  But they are timing -- they are facing problem, in fact, too.  And this subject is a quite sensitive one.  I don't want, in fact, to shed more light on it.  There is a desire, time being.  They are already encouraged, in fact, to participate, but usually they are not welcomed to participate. And this is one of the things that has to be reformed and then that all Iraqis should be treated equal, what I said, to overcome this problem, in fact.  And we shouldn't allow the recruiting center to work on a selective basis and bias, will ask one unit, complete unit, to come.  In doing so, nobody else, in fact, will be segregating between Shi'ites and Kurdish and others.  They have all the interest and courage, in fact, to come. In the past they have been under pressure of al Qaeda. They are preventing them, in fact, to go to the army or to security forces.  Time being, they are very much interested and we should encourage them, in fact, especially in the Sunni-dominating provinces.  They should be in charge of the security rather than to bring soldiers from other provinces.  They are prepared now to fight against al Qaeda, against terrorism, so we should not creating a militia, should be just part of that security forces belonging to the government.GARRELS:  Thank you very much.AL-HASHIMI:  You're most welcome, ma'am.  (Applause.)      (C) COPYRIGHT 2006, FEDERAL NEWS SERVICE, INC., 1000 VERMONT AVE.NW; 5TH FLOOR; WASHINGTON, DC - 20005, USA.  ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.  ANY REPRODUCTION, REDISTRIBUTION OR RETRANSMISSION IS EXPRESSLY PROHIBITED.      UNAUTHORIZED REPRODUCTION, REDISTRIBUTION OR RETRANSMISSION CONSTITUTES A MISAPPROPRIATION UNDER APPLICABLE UNFAIR COMPETITION LAW, AND FEDERAL NEWS SERVICE, INC. RESERVES THE RIGHT TO PURSUE ALL REMEDIES AVAILABLE TO IT IN RESPECT TO SUCH MISAPPROPRIATION.      FEDERAL NEWS SERVICE, INC. IS A PRIVATE FIRM AND IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.  NO COPYRIGHT IS CLAIMED AS TO ANY PART OF THE ORIGINAL WORK PREPARED BY A UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT OFFICER OR EMPLOYEE AS PART OF THAT PERSON'S OFFICIAL DUTIES.      FOR INFORMATION ON SUBSCRIBING TO FNS, PLEASE CALL JACK GRAEME AT 202-347-1400.      THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. Council on Foreign Relations, New York City, New YorkDecember 20, 2006ANNE GARRELS:  Hello, ladies and gentlemen.  I'd like to convene the meeting and welcome you all.  Thank you.  My name is Anne Garrels, with National Public Radio, and it's my delight to have a conversation with Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi. You all have a copy of his bio, so I don't need to go into that.  But I would note that he was probably the first Sunni politician to fully engage in the political process, and for that he has paid a very heavy price.  Two of his brothers and his sister have been killed in the sectarian violence that is tearing Iraq apart.  I think we're very fortunate to have him with us today.  And may I just remind you all -- house rules -- please remember to turn off your cell phones, BlackBerries and all other wireless equipment you might be carrying.This meeting is on the record.  Council members around the nation and the world will be participating via a teleconference.And first of all, I would like to invite the vice president to come to the podium.  He wishes to make a few remarks, and then we will begin the conversation.  Thank you.  (Applause.)VICE PRESIDENT TARIQ AL-HASHIMI:  Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon.  I really feel grateful for this golden opportunity that -- given to myself and my delegation.  Might be this is the first time that one of the key personnel of the Sunni communities in Iraq -- contributing and enhancing the ongoing discussion and dialogue on the Iraq issue.I feel grateful for this -- opportunities and the invitation given to me by the council, and hopefully at the end of this discussion, we will jointly contribute in painting a new picture for all Iraqi social segments and sects, affiliations. And as I used to be in all my life as a frank talker, I'll speak in this occasion as being the secretary-general of the Iraqi Islamic Party, one of the leaders of al-Tawafuq Front, and not necessarily in the capacity of being a vice president.Thank you very much.GARRELS:  Well, I hope that this means that you'll be even franker than usual, if you're not speaking as the vice president.  (Chuckles.)  AL-HASHIMI:  (Chuckles.)  GARRELS:  So -- first question:  What is your most optimistic evaluation of what could happen in the next year, or your most pessimistic one? AL-HASHIMI:  If I am not optimistic, I shouldn't be in power.  I'll continue my obligations towards my people, to my country, and until further notice, I should feel optimistic.And there is a real opportunity, in fact, for the country to be -- to rebound, to salvage from the current dilemma.GARRELS:  How?AL-HASHIMI:  We do have in fact various problems that -- challenging that work process -- time being, and on top of all, the violence, which -- becoming an overwhelming phenomena, unfortunately, in certain areas, in certain provinces in Iraq, and these could be tackled in much better way than used to be so far.  And I hope that as time comes for the American administration to revise the strategy they have adopted from (A to zero ?), and for the Iraqi government to shoulder responsibilities, to shoulder the burden and to tackle the sources of violence in the way which could meet the actual challenge and (fate ?) of this violence.GARRELS:  I think everyone here is extremely familiar with what the administration has done so far in Iraq.  What specifically would you like to see the administration do now?AL-HASHIMI:  First of all, I'm expecting in fact a brand-new strategy they have to be adopted.  In the provinces of Sunni-dominating, what they have done so far in -- especially in Anbar, it's really counterproductive.  And time comes in fact to revise the strategy.GARRELS:  Are you talking about --AL-HASHIMI:  According to General Casey report, the manpower of al Qaeda in Iraq is not exceeding 1,000.  And the way the American administration meeting this challenge is so far by using an excess of force, by (mass destruction ?) of innocent people houses, and they are pushing the young people in fact to be more extremist.  This policy must be changed, because it's proved to be counterproductive.GARRELS:  And what about the -- I mean, the Maliki government too must invest in Anbar.  Is that what you're -- is it a two-pronged --AL-HASHIMI:  The time being a factor, is -- Anbar being so far (based on ?) the exclusive responsibilities of the coalition forces.  We just tried weeks ago, in fact, to share responsibilities with the American troops, and we managed, in fact, to conclude a significant success in challenging the terrorism there.  But I need -- we need -- it might be too much, in fact, to have a new chapter in Al Anbar.GARRELS:  When you saw the president, did you -- what did you say to him about American troops?  Do you want them to stay?  Do you want a firm timetable?  What exactly did you -- do you think is the answer?AL-HASHIMI:  The American administration should continue and should honor exclusively their commitments to the Iraqi people.  One of the problems facing the security file in general is the shortage and the incompetent troops in Iraq.  It might be shocking to you when I said that out of 135,000 soldiers within the coalition spectrum, you do have only between 20,000 and 25,000 considered as a combat soldiers, and the rest -- 100,000 of the coalition forces are acting only as logistic troops.  They are not in combat.  So in taking only 25,000 in this sort of violence that we are facing in Iraq, we just immediately reach a conclusion that 25,000 to address the violence in Iraq is really meaningless.  We need additional troops, in fact, to put things in order, especially in -- (inaudible word) -- violent towns and areas, provinces such as Al Anbar, such as Diyala, such as Baghdad.I ask, Mr. President, please don't televise your strategy under the pressure of the car bombs and the side bombs and the kidnapping and sectarian killings.  Take your time.  Devise it quietly, in fact.  We need a new strategy.  We need a new chapter for Iraq, in fact.  But don't formalize that under pressure of the tension and the violence in Iraq.GARRELS:  So what should the troops, say, be doing in Anbar?  If -- I mean you criticize their behavior so far.AL-HASHIMI:  Yes.GARRELS:  What should they actually be doing there, then, if you have increased numbers of troops there?AL-HASHIMI:  No, no.  I'm not talking about Al Anbar specifically; in fact, I'm talking in general.  Timing is quite unfortunate, to say.  As a national armed forces, we do not have so far a competent and sufficient national armed forces to rely on and to help the coalition forces, in fact, either to pull out from the center of the cities or to go back home, for instance. We don't have (timing ?), in fact, we have problem thanks (to) Ambassador Bremer, who established this national army on wrong, wrong basis -- nonprofessional, non-patriotic.  I just give you just an example of what they had -- what he has done.  So far, 5,000 of Ministry of Interior police in different ranks being kicked out because of their crime record.  This is the -- this type of security forces we do have in Iraq.  You just imagine if your police in New York is managed or leader by Ku Klux Klan, for instance.  We do have leaders now in high ranks in Ministry of Interior, which they are managing, that is corrupt, and they are called militias.  This is the problem that we are facing currently.At the end of the day, we can't consider the national forces are reliable, trustworthy, non-corrupted, professional or trustworthy.  So until further notice, we will rely on the coalition forces, primarily the American troops, because, first of all, they do have a commitment to the Iraqi people, and two, we do have our own national armed forces built on professionalism, built on well-known criterias.  At that time, in fact, definitely we will welcome any pullout from Iraq, in fact, and we will very much interest -- we will be very happy that those soldiers back to their family as soon as possible.GARRELS:  It is indeed in Anbar with the predominantly Sunni community that the U.S. is having some of the greatest problems -- the U.S. military.  You're sort of caught between extremist Shi'a and extreme Sunnis.AL-HASHIMI:  Yes.GARRELS:  And for you to take the position that there should be more U.S. troops is just going to get you into hotter water with certain Sunnis.  How can you bring them to the table?  AL-HASHIMI:  Well, we have to differentiate between two groups.  The terrorists belong to al Qaeda.  They do have an international agenda.  It's not actually related to Iraq.  They are fighting Americans.  In fact, that's part of their international agenda, and they are going to continue.  Even if tomorrow, in fact, we kick them out from Iraq, they will go elsewhere and continue fighting, in fact, Americans and other countries.  They have no other language to address but to use bombs.  That's it.  The second group, which is more related to the Sunni communities, is -- you call it insurgents, we call it resistance.  They are very much prepared to contribute and to participate in the political process as long as we offer to them doable, a workable, a significant project to accommodate them.  And my message to them, in fact, over past weeks -- clearly, through the media -- the time comes the game is now different.  2003, 2004, at that time there could be some understanding why they are fighting the Americans, but now we need them, in fact, to come to discuss around table what they need, in which way they are dreaming to be a partner, a contributor in the political process.  It's quite unfortunate, so far, regardless of my appeal -- personal appeal to both the American administration as well as to the government -- to put forward some sort of doable project to accommodate them, the equal -- response from both parties was discouraging so far.  Before I left Baghdad to United States, people had significant connection to the insurgents, and they just convey a message to me, that I have to convey to the American administration, that they are prepared to sit down around table and to discuss and to stop killing the Americans.  I'll struggle my way until I get those people, because they are honest people, they are fully appreciating the political process, and they are very much interested to be a partner in the very near future.  All that's needed for that is a project to get them in.  This is the missing circle in the whole crisis, time being.  So those people shouldn't be considered as any other terrorists.  GARRELS:  Are those -- as it's called, the honorable resistance -- are they putting preconditions, though, for talks?  What is the impediment?  AL-HASHIMI:  No, they didn't, so far, in fact.  On the contrary, in fact, what they said -- they don't want, in fact, to have some sort of conditions from the American side, or even from the government, time being.  They are open-minded. But I understand, in fact, one of the things which left missing, in fact.  The American administration, in fact, in our field, they tried to make things difficult to them and put them in a very hard position.  When they put as a condition that they should shoulder their responsibilities and fight al Qaeda before they come to talk to the Americans, this is a very, very difficult condition.  I hope time comes, in fact, to be more flexible from all parties.  We do have a common goal.  We are dreaming on the same parameters of the future, and definitely that future should leave no access to extremists.  An open-minded, an encouraging project, there would be a genuine chance for the resistance, in fact, to come and to be a real partner in the political process. GARRELS:  I'm sure there will be questions about your relationship with Maliki later.  But I specifically want to ask -- the Pentagon in the last few days has cited Muqtada al-Sadr as being probably the greatest -- one of the greatest threats.  Muqtada al-Sadr has also cast himself as a nationalist who can align himself with the Sunnis.  On the other hand, in Baghdad, the Mahdi Army is widely believed to be behind much, if not all, of the sectarian killings.  Do you agree with the Pentagon's evaluation that he is one of the most dangerous people, most dangerous players in Iraq right now?AL-HASHIMI:  If Muqtada al-Sadr is proven to be seen that he is behind all these massacres, the sectarian killing, definitely he should be described like that.  So far, in fact, we try to (dig in ?) the mind and the organization of the Sadrist tie.  All these raids on the Sunni houses, areas in Baghdad, in fact, done by a militia, they presented themselves that they belonged to al-Mahdi Army.  When they come and attack, they said, "We are al-Mahdi Army, we are from Sadrists, we are belong to -- loyal to Muqtada al-Sadr."  If all these activities, all those guns, are actually part of the Sadrists and they are (coming dark ?) under his control, definitely Muqtada al-Sadr is the man that you have described. GARRELS:  Do you believe that they are working under the organization's orders, or do you subscribe to the view that they're renegade?AL-HASHIMI:  (Inaudible) -- in fact.  I think, to be frank with you, in fact, Baghdad now, and Iraq, has become a theater for different and variety of nations on the globe, in fact, to make things very, very difficult to the Iraqis.  It's really difficult to say who was behind what.  This is just part of the dilemma that we are facing the time being.  All the intelligence of the whole nations now very active.  They have very active presence in Iraq.  And everybody has its own agenda, and you just imagine the chaos that we are living in because of this interference.GARRELS:  I think at this point I'm going to open the questions up to the floor.  Could you wait for a microphone and speak directly into it.  And please give your name and affiliation, and stand, if you would.  And please limit yourself to one question and keep it as concise as possible.QUESTIONER:  Jane Bryant Quinn of Newsweek magazine.  You mentioned the desire of the Sunni community to have some kind of a program or project that they could then cooperate on.  Could you outline what that would be, and also what you see as an oil deal, division of the oil deal.AL-HASHIMI:  Division of the oil?QUESTIONER:  Of the Iraq -- oil.AL-HASHIMI:  And the first one was?QUESTIONER:  And the first one was what the Sunni community would see as an acceptable deal, a project that would bring them into the entire Iraqi coalition.AL-HASHIMI:  Yeah.  Okay, thank you very much, ma'am.As far as the first question is concerned, first of all, the resistance would like in fact to see that somebody to appreciate what they have done so far, in fact, regardless of the killings of the Americans, their sacrifices and the casualties.  They said we need somebody in fact to recognize that what we have done is legitimate, is legitimate because we consider our country as being occupied, and we are just fighting against occupation, simple as that.  This is the first issue.The second issue, in fact, they would like to see a genuine, doable access for them equally to other political parties who are already in the political process.  They shouldn't be in fact given just a marginalized access.  They want to be in fact a contributor in that equally to others.The third question is that the American troops, the American administration should be committed with a timetable, conditional withdrawal from Iraq.  This is very important.  It's quite unfortunate, regardless, again, of my appeal to the American administration through various media that I have done and even recently through the prime minister, Mr. Blair.  I just convinced him about my theme, and he gave conference and he promised me that he's going to discuss the subject with President Bush.  But at the end of the day, it's quite unfortunate, in fact your president made some sort of brainwashing for Mr. Blair, in fact, that we're back with Mr. Blair, in fact, to square one.  He's just back to his adamancy that we really can't, in fact, Mr. Hashimi, we can't announce that; we're afraid that we'll pass a false message to terrorism that we gave up because of their threat. I understand that.  So, okay, I said, let us make some sort of amendment to the theme.  Say it in this way:  timetable conditional withdrawal.  Conditional means that you rebuild the Iraqi armed forces on professional basis.  The time comes that this project is concluded, there should be no excuse for U.S. have to stay in Iraq.  So your withdrawal, in fact, will be tailor-made to the time scale -- the timetable of refurbishing, restructuring, training, supplying arms/equipment to the armed forces.  At that time, there will be no need somebody else, in fact, to shoulder responsibilities of the security in Iraq in general and Baghdad in particular.About distribution of oil, it's -- this subject, in fact, is -- as you're fully aware, is related to the constitution.  This document, the high valuable -- the invaluable document, it is -- (time being ?), in fact the Iraqi community is being divided severely, and it's becoming a disputable -- a real disputable document.  And if we are looking forward to have a compact, Iraqi community will have to make a genuine remedy for this chapter.  And part of it is through distribution of oil resources.QUESTIONER:  Thank you.  (Inaudible.)  My name is Roland Paul.  I'm a lawyer.  Some years ago I was in the U.S. government.What is the level and nature of the assistance coming across the Syrian border for the -- what you call the Iraqi resistance?AL-HASHIMI:  Well, I don't recall, in fact, figures time being, in fact, but definitely our neighbors east and west, in fact, make things difficult to us.  And both parties used to be very generous, in fact, in supplying weaponry, technology, money, and sending of troublemakers, people, to Iraq.  This is becoming a phenomena.  I'm sorry to -- I can't answer your question, in fact, in giving facts and figure on that, but it's well known now.  It is a national consensus that the help is coming from the east and west.  It's quite unfortunate.GARRELS:  Just to follow up on that, I mean, of late, as the sectarian violence gets worse in Iraq, Saudi clerics speaking on behalf of the Sunnis have expressed their support for the Sunni side and talked about getting more involved.  What is your response to that?AL-HASHIMI:  I don't like that.  It's really, in fact, fueling the sectarian tension.  I don't like that.  I need somebody else, in fact, to help Iraqis, in fact, for their reconciliation project.  I regard this -- I must be frank with your think tank -- regardless of what you will hear from the media, believe it or not, none of the Arabs, (time being?), in fact, helping the Arab Sunnis in Iraq.I am now in my capacity as secretary-general of the Iraqi Islamic Party.  I haven't got any sort of support from any different countries who could be a candidate for that.  I don't like, in fact, that this support coming through the media and puts me in a very difficult situation that all what I am behind is to be involved in sectarian tension.  We live in Iraq centuries, in fact, Shi'a and Sunni, as a brother, a coexistence.  And I personally, and my party, is going to struggle and to fight until we get the Shi'a with the Sunni joining forces to rebuild Iraq.  There is no other way.I shoulder my responsibilities.  I'm not going to talk on behalf of the Sunnis; I am going to talk on behalf of all Iraqis.  This is the only language.  The only project that could put an end for the Iraqi dynamo is to go back to the national common interests of Iraq.  That's it.  We don't like, in fact, that to people now, the sectarian, the violence between the Sunni and Shi'a or between the Kurdish and the Arabs.I am very much like, in fact, to live like you are living now in the States.  The majority, for instance, Anglo-Saxon; nevertheless, Anglo-Saxon roots, they are treated according to the law, like whoever might be immigrant from Italy, from Africa, from Indonesia, from everywhere.  We would like to see this sort of community in Iraq.  But everybody is going to be seeing himself equal to his brother, Shi'a and Sunni, Kurdish, Christian, whoever might be.The common interests of Iraq is the ultimate goal of the Iraqis that we have to focus on, and we need your help in this regard.QUESTIONER:  My name is Richard Hottelet.  I'm a journalist.You speak of a -- of a dialogue, and you mentioned the need to come to terms with -- honorable terms with the Shi'a majority.  What is the -- what is the basis?  What is the modus vivendi between the two?  What is the common denominator?  What is the essence of the interest?  I mean, national interest is out the window at the moment; they are fighting each other.  How can you -- what can be done to end the sectarian strife and find a modus vivendi -- find a common denominator for both sides to live together and live together serving their own interests?AL-HASHIMI:  Believe it or not, I know that everybody, in fact, talks of this tension in Baghdad and the violence and define it as a sectarian tension.  This is a phenomena.  Iraq is now an instrument for the sectarian tension, and they are the victims as well.Iraqis has no interest, in fact, to fight each other.  This fight becomes meaningless.  What we are going to achieve?  There is no way, in fact, for the Shi'a to dominate Iraq without the Sunni participation.  How they are going to live, in fact, in the whole Arab regional influence?  Majority of them are Sunni.  How?  They can't.And what the point is in kicking out the Sunnis from Baghdad as (is the phenomena ?), time being, in fact, and taking the shape of sectarian cleansing in Baghdad, quite unfortunately? This recipe is a foreign recipe, is not a national one.  Believe it or not, the Iraqis are victimized of this sectarian tension.  Why I am saying that?  What sort of evidence I have is the history, the background. Even through Saddam Hussein, we used to live in fact as brothers, in a unique coexistence.  And this happened in fact over centuries of time.  And we will continue on that. First of all, we do have a common interest.  We have the unity of Iraq as a common interest.  We have the stability of Iraq as common interest.  We have the prosperity of Iraq as a common interest (of land ?).  We have real noble goals, in fact, for all Iraqis in fact to fight and struggle to achieve them.And if you see -- if you talk to the politicians, you will see that their language -- more or less no difference.  We are talking the same goals, which reflect what I have said now.  This sectarian tension is non-national.  It is a foreign -- it is the result of the foreign interference -- somebody else who has an interest, in fact, to keep weakening Iraq.  I don't know the bottom line of this agenda, but there are many in fact who make things very, very difficult to the Iraqis, as well as to the Americans.  Time being, I see no point in fact in killing the American soldiers.  Why you are killing them?  It's quite clear that they are very much interested in fact to go home.Try to build a new relationship with the Americans to assist us in rebuilding Iraq, but we should try in fact to pass an encouraging message to them, in fact to secure the lives of the soldiers.  And believe it or not, now I am very much interested in fact for the Americans to protect my people.  I am calling now around the clock:  Please come and protect me, because of the militia, because the incompetent, the corrupted police.  So if I am calling the Americans, on one side, to protect me, what's the point in killing those soldiers?  We should try our best in fact to go in a new strategy, as I said, in fact, and there is an opportunity to mitigate, to calm down the situation in fact, and to (get all those resistant ?), sometimes killing the American soldiers -- isolate them from the terrorism.  At that time, we will have a joint target to address and overcome the tension and the threat. In addition to the point that I have raised, we need in fact to revise the political process.  We have a pending constitution that we have to amend as well.  We have, unfortunately, in fact, a paralyzed parliament, time being, because of the sectarian quota.  The Kurdish should have this seat; the Sunnis should have this seat, number of seats; the Shi'a should have this number of seats.  This (creed be pleased ?) doesn't work in a modern society, and we should be treated like other nations on the world.This quota, this sectarian formula, doesn't work in Iraq.  Please.  We should be equal -- Shi'a or Sunni, Kurdish, Christian, everybody.  Like you live here in the States, we are dreaming in fact to have the same opportunities to live on our territory, like the Americans.  In doing so, we have to revise many things that has been considered as a fact, a holy fact, and -- (inaudible) -- and irrevocable.  We have to revise them if we are genuinely, honestly looking for a quick remedy for the dire situation in Iraq.GARRELS:  You've made your unhappiness with Prime Minister Maliki known.  It's no secret.  But how -- and your unhappiness based on the fact that the -- he has not fulfilled his promises as the head of a unity government.AL-HASHIMI:  That's right.GARRELS:  What can the political parties do to push him to fulfill promises or push him out, if need be?AL-HASHIMI:  Well, yes, first of all, I would like to confirm that regardless of our personal relationship, I do have my own reservations on his performances so far.It's a matter of fact that before the establishment of the current government, we had in fact various key agreements that has been violated from A to Z, and created this current tension, in fact, in Iraq.  We don't want in fact to kick him out, and this is the responsibilities of the parliament.  It is not the political party, in fact.  It is not only my views.  The problem, reservation, is not only on himself as a prime minister -- he's just the leader of the Cabinet, the ministerial council.  I'm sure I'm to say that this ministerial council are not to the level that we are expecting from the beginning.  We will try our best.  We had -- in fact, before I left the state, we had a tough but sincere and open discussion for all the commitments that has been violated.  And my view, in fact -- even when I talked to the administration, in fact -- we should give a chance to the prime minister, tailor-made to a timetable, that he should fulfill all the promises that he is obliged to.  If not, definitely, for the sake of the interest of the country, we should think on other options.GARRELS:  Sir?  QUESTIONER:  Bob Lifton, Medis Technologies.The Iraq Study Group and President Carter have both attributed significance to the Israeli-Palestinian continuing conflict as a factor in the settlement of Iraq.  Do you see any relationship between that, the outside intelligence parties that you talked about, and any way of creating peace in Iraq?AL-HASHIMI:  Yeah, and first of all, I must be frank with you, in fact:  What's going on in Iraq is hurting the Arab national security.  Total stability is going to serve the Arab national security.  This is why I'm encouraging all neighboring countries, in fact, to shoulder their responsibilities and try to mitigate the tension and help Iraqis to bridge the relationship between them.I see this conclusion as one of the significant conclusions that has been tabled by this committee.  He tried to address the Syrian issues quite different from the Iranian issues.  And he said quite carefully and openly that if the Syrians give them some sort of encouragement related to their occupied territories, they could be open-minded and behave differently than they are doing, time being, in making things difficult to the Iraqis as well as to the Americans.  (Inaudible) -- the Iraq situation is becoming related to the security of the whole region.  Yeah.QUESTIONER:  Gary Rosen from Commentary Magazine.  You said that the Sunni insurgency or resistance is open to some kind of deal that would bring them into this national political project.  I'm wondering, in your experience, are Iraqi Sunnis reconciled to the fact that they are now a minority in this country that they have ruled for all of its modern existence and will, under any future democratic government, continue to be a minority?  Or are there still factions within the Sunni community that imagine a time in the future when they might again rule this country?AL-HASHIMI:  I don't like to talk on Sunni and Shi'a.  Although people look to popularize that he's one of the Sunni leaders, I am in my capacity, in fact, belong to all Iraqis.  And I very much like, in fact, time comes to talk Iraqis rather than to talk Sunni and to talk Shi'a.  But I would like you, in fact, to help me in this regard.One of the -- I said, in fact, that the political process has been established on some false information.  And I'm going to repeat it, in fact, regardless of the sensitivity of these basics, which somebody called them -- (inaudible) -- irrevocable, unnegotiable.  Why would they say it?  Someone said the Shi'a is majority and Sunnis is minority.  I don't know.  But who, on what basis, what reference you have, when somebody is saying that the Shi'a has 60 percent and the Sunni is 20 percent, or even less, and the Kurdish 20 percent, I don't know who is.We don't have this statistics in Iraq.  I ask somebody in Washington to give me a clue on this fact.  Nobody, in fact, could prove that.  I don't admit that the Shi'a could be a majority, but I would like to be scientifically on that.  I would like to see the source of that.  I would be very happy if the Shi'a is proved to be, scientifically, and there is a genuine record on that, that they are 70 percent of the Iraq population.  Until that's proved scientifically, please, don't keep saying that this part, this sect is majority and this sect is minority.Regardless of that, even if -- say that Christian now is a minority.  That this means that the -- those people should be treated as second-class people because of their different religion because Iraqis are -- majority are Muslim?  We look to them as a second class?  We are look to them in different vision, different treatment?  You like that?  Why the problem -- now we're talking about the Sunni and Shi'a, majority/minority.  Regardless of that, whoever might be, even one single Iraqi, he should be treated himself as equal as anybody else -- which means if he's eligible, if he's qualified to be the president of Iraq, he should go for that and be a candidate for this position.  What of this (posited ?) that majority and minority.  This is quite unfortunate.  And besides, you are think tank.  Check about that, see what sort of percentages.Second, Saddam Hussein was a Sunni regime.  Saddam Hussein wasn't a Sunni regime.  Who says so?  Out of the wanted leaders of the high-rank Ba'athists 55 list, 35 of them Shi'a, not Sunni; 35 Shi'a, 20 Sunni.  Saddam Hussein wasn't, in fact, a Sunni.  He's a criminal; he's a dictator against all.  I am one of the victims of Saddam Hussein.  I am a Sunni.The Iraqi Islamic Party is, in fact, had many sacrifices in young leaders -- (inaudible) -- in the '80s and in the '90s, and they are Sunnis.  Everybody hurt, in fact, because of Saddam Hussein.  Yes, might be the majority of the cost shouldered that by our brothers, the Shi'a, but nevertheless, the Sunni are contributed in that, the Kurdish are contributed, the Turkomen, everybody contributed.  This is the second false base that has -- the political process that has been built.The third one.  The Shi'a was not in power since I don't know many years.  Time counts; they should shoulder the responsibilities and kick out.  And they should exercise exclusively the power, and there should be no contribution, no participation from other communities, Sunni and the rest.  You see?You put these basics, and when the governing council established, Bremer very much time for his teams and behaviors and the policy that he adopted, he translate these (posited ?), the false information, into a quarter in the governing council, and say the 50 of the -- 50 percent of the seats should go to the Shi'a, 25 percent of the Sunni, 20 percent I don't know to whom, and he make this segregation from the beginning.  Now we are paying a cost for what has happened in 2003.Please, what I have said, try to study it carefully.  If we are very much interested, in fact, to see a better future for this country, help us; that all Iraq is going to see themselves are equal.  Go to Jefferson, talks what he has said:  liberty of the people, equality of the people.  We are dreaming, in fact, to have some future in Iraq.  Help us in this regard.QUESTIONER:  My name is Kenneth Bialkin.First of all, I think we all admire your courage and resonate your sense of unity with an Iraqi government and hope you succeed.  You mentioned in your remarks that the Sunnis sometimes regard themselves as resistance and sometimes as insurgent, but I think most people look at the insurgency and look at the violence that comes as originating in the insurgency movement, which is largely Sunni, whatever their reason.As an Iraqi government official, how would you react, and how do you think the Sunni population would react, if the Iraqi government determined to concentrate all of its force in the suppression of insurgency, recognizing that it might be directly primarily against the Sunni?  Do you think, as an Iraqi government person, you would support such an effort of concentrated effort on suppression of insurgency?  How would it work?  And how would the Sunni population react to it?AL-HASHIMI:  I would be committed with whatever decision taken by the government.  I am just part of the government.  I'll be very frank and discuss these very sensitive issues, in fact, amicably.  And whatever decision taken, I'll be just part of it, regardless who -- what sort of society, what part of the society is going to be targeted for this decision or that decision.  This is one.And second, as I told you, in fact, time being is that -- is the coalition forces is in charge of battling this violence against them, the terrorism plus the insurgents, not the Iraqi forces, not the national Iraq forces who is shouldering responsibility for that.And the third issue is the war against the American in Iraq is not between the Sunni and the Americans.  Don't get this misleading conclusion, please.  We do have a Shi'a -- Muqtada al-Sadr now against the American because they consider them as occupier, and their al-Mahdi group are fighting the Americans and killing them.  And they are fighting the coalition forces in the southern area dominated by the Shi'a.  Now Basra becoming a troublesome area for the British, and who is in there in Basra?  The Shi'a are in Basra.  The minority are Sunni, and there is no insurgency of Sunni in Basra.  But who is killing the British?  The Shi'a.So it is not only -- please, this is a very important issue, and I would like to take this subject very sincerely and circulate it inside the American community and society.  It is not -- the war is not between the Sunni and the American, please.The problems is the timetable withdrawal.  If you declare that tomorrow, the tension is going to be mitigated not only in the Sunni side, the Shi'a side as well, because everybody cautious, in fact, about the future.  The American administration left it vague.  They didn't say clearly, in fact.  What is the ultimate mission that they are going to fulfill?  Nobody knows.  How long they are going to stay in Iraq, (for instance ?)?  As an Iraqi -- I am also vice president -- I would like very much to see that Iraq is free tomorrow, and to assist all those families waiting their sons to receive them back as soon as possible, in fact, and to stop and to put an end for this -- for the tragedy.  I be very much on the same side and the same time I would like to see my own national armed force, in fact, to shoulder responsibilities and secure the situation in Iraq.QUESTIONER:  Thank you.  Kimberly Martin from Barnard College, Columbia University.Mr. Vice President, you've talked about the importance of having a timetable that is based on the Iraqi security forces being able to protect the population, and you've also talked about the Iraqi security forces having problems with corruption and incompetence.  How do we move from here to there?  What will it take to get an Iraqi security force that is actually non-corrupt and competent so that the U.S. can leave?AL-HASHIMI:  What we have -- what we should have, in fact, a comprehensive, in fact, and a roundtable discussion and consensus agreement and plan to reshuffle and training, restructure the armed forces.  I could say easily, in fact, between one year, one-and-a-half years, this plan could go forward and implemented.One of the main and can speed up this plan is to call the ex-army -- the ex-units of the old army rather than to call individuals.  Time being, recruitment done on an individual basis.  We should change the system.  We should all units, say the battalion number one belong to brigade number two, division number three, they should come, so-and-so did, and specify the area.  The whole bunch of the people come.In doing so, you will speed up the plan.  In the same time, you will get rid of the sectarian problems because these divisions, in fact, comprises Shi'a, Sunni, Christian, Kurdish in the same time.  So there is no excuse for anybody, in fact, to kick out the Sunnis and welcome the Shi'a, kick out the Kurdish and welcome the Arabs, you see?This proposal, I put it forward to the American administration.  I am hopefully that this will be -- is going to be welcomed, is going to speed up the recruitment of that, to reform the Iraqi army, and the same time get rid of the sectarian problem (and condition ?).GARRELS:  Sir.QUESTIONER:  Merritt Fox, Columbia University.If the different groups can reach some kind of agreement about division of oil, what --AL-HASHIMI:  I'm sorry, sir, what groups you mean?QUESTIONER:  If the different political groups within Iraq --AL-HASHIMI:  Yes.QUESTIONER:  -- can reach some kind of compact or agreement about the division of oil in terms of revenues to different regions, what kind of device could make those promises to each other credible?  And would there be a role for international institutions or outside powers in guaranteeing that agreement?AL-HASHIMI:  Well, time being, in fact, there is an article in the constitution saying that the oil and gases belong to all Iraqis, which means that the central government should be in charge, in the driving seat in contacting whoever who might be foreign investor.  We do have some dispute about the sharing of the crude oil revenues on that, and this is under revision because this contradiction in the constitution, in fact, doesn't allow major oil companies, in fact, to come and invest in Iraq.  So there is no way in front of Iraqis but to come together, in fact, and try to amend the articles concerned and to have some sort of open-minded, based on international experience.At the end of the day, whoever might be responsible for the contract, that article would say that oil and gas belong to all Iraqis, everybody should enjoy the returns of this crude oil, and there should (sic) be any sort of discrimination between one province to another province.  And we do have, in fact, I think, the second reservoir in the world, so we have enough resource, in fact, to get everybody happy in the future.GARRELS:  Karen, did you --QUESTIONER:  I wanted to ask -- (off mike).  Karen House, a journalist.  What can you do to try to encourage Sunnis to join the army?  I mean, you laid out your call in whole units, but isn't that one of the problems now, that if you can't rely on the U.S. to protect Iraqi nationals, then you have to have an army, and right now Sunnis don't seem to want to be part of it or aren't joining it in very large numbers?AL-HASHIMI:  Yes, that's the thing.  We had some problem in the past, in fact, for the Sunni communities to come and to participate and to be soldiers in the newborn army.  The time being the situation is quite changed.  They are very much interested, in fact, to work in the army as well as in the security forces.  But they are timing -- they are facing problem, in fact, too.  And this subject is a quite sensitive one.  I don't want, in fact, to shed more light on it.  There is a desire, time being.  They are already encouraged, in fact, to participate, but usually they are not welcomed to participate. And this is one of the things that has to be reformed and then that all Iraqis should be treated equal, what I said, to overcome this problem, in fact.  And we shouldn't allow the recruiting center to work on a selective basis and bias, will ask one unit, complete unit, to come.  In doing so, nobody else, in fact, will be segregating between Shi'ites and Kurdish and others.  They have all the interest and courage, in fact, to come. In the past they have been under pressure of al Qaeda. They are preventing them, in fact, to go to the army or to security forces.  Time being, they are very much interested and we should encourage them, in fact, especially in the Sunni-dominating provinces.  They should be in charge of the security rather than to bring soldiers from other provinces.  They are prepared now to fight against al Qaeda, against terrorism, so we should not creating a militia, should be just part of that security forces belonging to the government.GARRELS:  Thank you very much.AL-HASHIMI:  You're most welcome, ma'am.  (Applause.)      (C) COPYRIGHT 2006, FEDERAL NEWS SERVICE, INC., 1000 VERMONT AVE.NW; 5TH FLOOR; WASHINGTON, DC - 20005, USA.  ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.  ANY REPRODUCTION, REDISTRIBUTION OR RETRANSMISSION IS EXPRESSLY PROHIBITED.      UNAUTHORIZED REPRODUCTION, REDISTRIBUTION OR RETRANSMISSION CONSTITUTES A MISAPPROPRIATION UNDER APPLICABLE UNFAIR COMPETITION LAW, AND FEDERAL NEWS SERVICE, INC. RESERVES THE RIGHT TO PURSUE ALL REMEDIES AVAILABLE TO IT IN RESPECT TO SUCH MISAPPROPRIATION.      FEDERAL NEWS SERVICE, INC. IS A PRIVATE FIRM AND IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT.  NO COPYRIGHT IS CLAIMED AS TO ANY PART OF THE ORIGINAL WORK PREPARED BY A UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT OFFICER OR EMPLOYEE AS PART OF THAT PERSON'S OFFICIAL DUTIES.      FOR INFORMATION ON SUBSCRIBING TO FNS, PLEASE CALL JACK GRAEME AT 202-347-1400.      THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT.
  • Defense and Security
    Iraq’s Other Embeds: Advisers
    Whatever emerges from the current review of U.S. Iraq policy, embedding more U.S. military advisers with Iraqi forces will be a vital component. But can this training effort help secure Iraq?
  • Iraq
    Multiple Iraq Reports to Compete for President’s Attention
    As he weighs options on Iraq, President Bush will consider not only the Iraq Study Group report but also pending in-house reports from the National Security Council and the Pentagon.
  • Wars and Conflict
    Simon: ISG Report Essentially Calls for U.S. to ‘Cut and Run’ from Iraq
    Steven Simon, an expert on Middle East security issues, says his overall impression of the Iraq Study Group report is that “it was a variation on ‘cut and run,’” which President Bush has vowed he would not do in Iraq.
  • Iraq
    Haass: Iraq Report Gives Bush ‘Best Chance That Exists’ For Progress
    Richard N. Haass, an expert on Middle East affairs, says the Iraq Study Group’s report on Iraq is “refreshingly honest” and gives the Bush administration “the best chance that exists for making progress.”
  • Iraq
    The Baker-Hamilton Commission (aka Iraq Study Group)
    As the much-discussed Iraq Study Group gears up to give its final report to Congress, there is a flurry of speculation over what its recommendations will include. Here is an inside look at the so-called Baker commission. 
  • Iraq
    The Implications of ‘Civil War’ in Iraq
    It is unclear if classifying the conflict in Iraq as a civil war will have serious ramifications for U.S. military strategy there or, for that matter, U.S. domestic politics.