Economics

Technology and Innovation

  • World Order
    Working on World Order: Help Wanted for Twenty-First Century U.S. Leadership
    A new Council on Foreign Relations Independent Task Force report offers recommendations for mitigating technology-induced disruption to the domestic economy and U.S.-led international order. 
  • Technology and Innovation
    The Quantum Race the United States Can’t Afford To Lose
    The quantum race is on, and the stakes are high. The winner will gain a military and intelligence edge, as well as a first mover advantage in what is guaranteed to be a massive industry for decades to come. How will the United States fare?
  • Technology and Innovation
    Democrats Can Campaign on Technology for Edge in 2020
    America-first rhetoric omits two important causes of middle America's economic woes: technology and automation. Democrats could use this to their advantage in the 2020 presidential election.  
  • Artificial Intelligence (AI)
    The Work Ahead: Machines, Skills, and U.S. Leadership in the Twenty-First Century
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    The world is in the midst of a transformation in the nature of work, as smart machines, artificial intelligence, new technologies, and global competition remake how people do their jobs and pursue their careers. 
  • Labor and Employment
    The Work Ahead
    The world is in the midst of a transformation in the nature of work, as smart machines, artificial intelligence, new technologies, and global competition remake how people do their jobs and pursue their careers. The Work Ahead: Machines, Skills, and U.S. Leadership in the Twenty-First Century focuses on how to rebuild the links among work, opportunity, and economic security for all Americans in the face of accelerating change.
  • Space
    Cybersecurity and the New Era of Space Activities
    Governments, critical infrastructure, and economies rely on space-dependent services—for example, the Global Positioning System (GPS)—that are vulnerable to hostile cyber operations. However, few spacefaring states and companies have paid any attention to the cybersecurity of satellites in outer space, creating a number of risks. 
  • Technology and Innovation
    Preventing the Balkanization of the Internet
    This post is co-authored by Fred Hu, Chairman and Founder of Primavera Capital Group, a China-based global investment firm. With the entire global economy becoming inextricably linked to the Internet and digital technologies, stronger regulation is more important than ever. But if that regulation is fragmented, clumsy, heavy-handed, or inconsistent, the consequences for economic integration—and, in turn, prosperity—could be severe. BEIJING—The recent revelation that more than 50 million Facebook profiles were harvested by app and given to political consultancy Cambridge Analytica has produced a backlash against the platform. But it is just the latest example of the risks associated with the Internet, which forms the core of today’s digital revolution. Most of the digital innovations that have reshaped the global economy over the last 25 years rely on network connectivity, which has transformed commerce, communication, education and training, supply chains, and much more. Connectivity also enables access to vast amounts of information, including information that underpins machine learning, which is essential to modern artificial intelligence. Over the last 15 years or so, mobile Internet has reinforced this trend, by rapidly increasing not just the number of people who are connected to the Internet, and thus able to participate in the digital economy, but also the frequency and ease with which they can connect. From GPS navigation to ride-sharing platforms to mobile-payment systems, on-the-go connectivity has had a far-reaching impact on people’s lives and livelihoods. For years, it was widely believed that an open Internet—with standardized protocols but few regulations—would naturally serve the best interests of users, communities, countries, and the global economy. But major risks have emerged, including monopoly power for mega-platforms like Facebook and Google; vulnerability to attacks on critical infrastructure, including financial-market systems and electoral processes; and threats to privacy and the security of data and intellectual property. Fundamental questions about the Internet’s impact on political allegiance, social cohesion, citizen awareness and engagement, and childhood development also remain. As the Internet and digital technologies penetrate economies and societies more deeply, these risks and vulnerabilities become increasingly acute. And, so far, the predominant approach to managing them in the West—self-regulation by the companies that provide the services and own the data—does not seem to be working. Major platforms can’t be expected to remove “objectionable” content, for example, without guidelines from regulators or courts. Given this, we seem to be facing a new transition from the open Internet of the past to one subject to more extensive control. But this process carries risks of its own. Though there is a strong case for international cooperation, such an approach seems unlikely in the current climate of protectionism and unilateralism. It is not even clear that countries will agree to treaties banning cyber warfare. Even if some semblance of international cooperation were mustered, non-state actors would continue to act as spoilers—or worse. Against this background, it seems likely that new regulations will be initiated largely by individual states, which will have to answer difficult questions. Who is responsible—and liable—for data security? Should the state have access to user data, and for what purposes? Will users be allowed to maintain anonymity online? Countries’ answers to such questions will vary widely, owing to fundamental differences in their values, principles, and governance structures. For example, in China, the authorities filter content deemed to be inconsistent with state interests; in the West, by contrast, there is no entity with legitimate authority to filter content, except in extreme cases (for example, hate speech and child pornography). Even in areas where there does seem to be some consensus—such as the unacceptability of disinformation or of foreign meddling in electoral processes—there is no agreement on the appropriate remedy. The lack of consensus or cooperation could lead to the emergence of national digital borders, which would not only inhibit flows of data and information, but also disrupt trade, supply chains, and cross-border investment. Already, most US-based technology platforms cannot operate in China, because they cannot or will not accept the authorities’ rules about state access to data and control over content. Meanwhile, the US has blocked the Chinese company Huawei from investing in software startups, providing network equipment to wireless carriers, or (along with ZTE) selling mobile phones in the US market, owing to the firm’s alleged ties to the Chinese government. Huawei and ZTE both maintain that their activities are purely commercial, and that they play by the rules wherever they operate, but US officials continue to insist that the companies pose a security risk. By contrast, nearly all European countries, including the United Kingdom, are receptive to Huawei and ZTE, both of which are major players in Europe. Yet Europe is creating its own barriers, with new data-protection and privacy rules that may well impede the application of machine learning. Unlike China and the US, Europe is not yet home to a mega-platform of the type that is leading the way in machine-learning innovations. With the entire global economy becoming inextricably linked to the Internet and digital technologies, stronger regulation is more important than ever. But if that regulation is fragmented, clumsy, heavy-handed, or inconsistent, the consequences for economic integration—and, in turn, prosperity—could be severe. Before the world adopts ineffective or counterproductive solutions, policymakers should think carefully about how best to approach regulation. If we cannot agree on every detail, perhaps we can at least identify a set of shared principles that can form the basis of multilateral agreements that proscribe destructive activity such as the misuse of data, thereby helping to preserve an open global economy. This article originally appeared on project-syndicate.org.
  • Women and Women's Rights
    Five Things a Global Study on Ride-hailing Tells us About Women and the Sharing Economy
    The International Finance Corporation (IFC) has published findings from the first global study on how women use ride-hailing services.
  • Renewable Energy
    Why Solar Energy Needs Innovation to Reach Its Potential
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    Solar energy, the world’s cheapest and fastest-growing power source, could one day supply most of the world’s energy needs. But in a new book, “Taming the Sun: Innovations to Harness Solar Energy and Power the Planet” (MIT Press), energy expert Varun Sivaram warns that solar’s current surge is on track to stall, dimming prospects for averting catastrophic climate change. Brightening those prospects, he argues, will require innovation—creative financing, revolutionary technologies, and flexible energy systems.