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The Development Channel highlights big debates, promising approaches, and new research and thinkers addressing opportunity and exclusion in the global economy.

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Mossack Fonseca law firm sign is pictured in Panama City, April 4, 2016.
Mossack Fonseca law firm sign is pictured in Panama City, April 4, 2016. Carlos Jasso/Reuters

Corruption Brief Series: How Anonymous Shell Companies Finance Insurgents, Criminals, and Dictators

The latest paper in the Corruption Brief series from the Civil Society, Markets, and Democracy program at the Council on Foreign Relations was published this month. In the brief, Dr. Jodi Vittori, senior policy advisor at Global Witness, addresses the myriad problems posed by anonymous shell companies – corporate entities with few or no employees and no substantive business, which offer a convenient way to privately move money through the international financial system.

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Iraq
This Week in Markets and Democracy: The Americas’ Refugee Crisis, Impunity in Journalist Attacks, and More
CFR’s Civil Society, Markets, and Democracy (CSMD) Program highlights noteworthy events and articles each Friday in “This Week in Markets and Democracy.”  The Americas’ Refugee Crisis  As Europe struggles to absorb one million refugees this year alone, the United States is facing its own crisis. From October 2014 to September 2015, U.S. officials detained 80,000 people at the U.S.-Mexico border, mostly women and children from Northern Triangle countries (El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras) where record homicide rates and forcible gang recruitment threaten daily life. A recent United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) report documents the dangers women in particular face, including rape, assault, kidnapping, and extortion. Over the past year Mexico’s migrant detention rate doubled, leading the number of Central Americans reaching the U.S. to fall. Still, tens of thousands of migrants wait in the United States in prison-like facilities of questionable legality, given little if any help navigating the U.S. asylum process. Unlike the Europeans, who are debating how to equitably distribute refugees and manage flows, the U.S. government remains largely silent regarding its own humanitarian crisis. Continued Impunity in Journalist Attacks  Monday’s International Day to End Impunity for Crimes Against Journalism memorialized over 1,000 journalists slain since 1992. Over this period the Committee to Protect Journalists counts Iraq, Syria, the Philippines, and Algeria as the deadliest countries for press. With conflicts escalating this year in Yemen and South Sudan, so too did the dangers for reporters; these two nations join Syria and Bangladesh among the top five most perilous places in the world to practice journalism in 2015. Local reporters account for the majority targeted, particularly when investigating corruption or challenging political authority in closed societies. Most attacks against the press go unpunished—only 7 percent of cases are resolved, and less than 10 percent are even investigated. One of the most egregious recent examples is the torture and murder of Mexican photojournalist Ruben Espinosa last summer, a case that remains unsolved. Changes to the World Bank Doing Business Survey The World Bank’s annual Doing Business report, released last week, now measures the quality and strength of judicial systems in scoring the business environment of 189 countries. In addition to measuring efficiency (time and cost) of resolving contract disputes—from filing cases to enforcing judgements—Doing Business added a “good judicial practices” index, looking at court structures, procedures, and whether cases are assigned randomly to avoid corruption. The 2016 report also factors in regulatory transparency in property transactions and electricity tariffs when considering the quality of reforms. Though country rankings changed only slightly with the revised methodology—Singapore ranked number one for the tenth straight year—the shift reflects an effort to incorporate the broader governance issues that affect companies and countries. TPP Debate Begins  On Thursday President Obama notified Congress of his intent to sign the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and released all thirty chapters of the trade pact between twelve countries, covering roughly 40 percent of global GDP. As set by terms of the trade promotion authority (TPA), or “fast-track” legislation passed last summer, the House and Senate now have ninety days to debate the TPP before taking an up-or-down vote. (CFR’s Jim Lindsay explains the voting procedure and TPA rules in detail.) After months of criticism of the TPP’s closed-door negotiations and speculation over more controversial provisions—on the environment, labor rights, and intellectual property (IP)—TPP proponents and detractors can now analyze what the U.S. may gain and lose from the deal.
Americas
This Week in Markets and Democracy: Indonesia Pledges to Join the TPP, Corruption in Venezuela
CFR’s Civil Society, Markets, and Democracy (CSMD) Program highlights noteworthy events and articles each Friday in “This Week in Markets and Democracy.”  Indonesia Pledges to Join the TPP Just four weeks after the signing of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) accord in Atlanta, other countries are already asking to join. During his visit to the White House this week, Indonesian President Joko Widodo announced his interest, hoping it will help fulfill his campaign promise to attract foreign direct investment. Others who have shown interest include Colombia, the only large Pacific-facing nation in the Americas not included in the first round, and South Korea, whose interest has grown with time due to concerns that the deal will give Japan an advantage in cars and electronics. They would join the trade deal’s twelve founding members—which together comprise nearly 40 percent of global GDP—in lowering tariffs, establishing labor and environmental standards, and eliminating barriers to trade in services. New entrants will likely have to wait until the deal is ratified. This process looks especially difficult in the United States, due to opposition from members of both political parties and numerous aspiring presidential candidates. Some are already talking about pushing the vote to the “lame-duck” session, meaning November or December of 2016. Indonesia, and the others, will have to wait. U.S. Investigates Corruption in Venezuela Last March the Obama administration issued an executive order against seven high-ranking Venezuelan officials for human rights abuses and undemocratic practices, banning them from the United States and freezing U.S.-based property. Now the Treasury Department, through its Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) division, is investigating several government officials for corruption and laundering money through Venezuela’s state-owned energy company, Petróleos de Venezuela (PdVSA). Though no charges have been filed, FinCEN alleges that Venezuelan government officials and PdVSA executives received kickbacks, created fake contracts, used shell companies, laundered drug money, and manipulated the official and black market currency gap for personal gain. These funds were funneled through Banca Privada d’Andorra (BPA), which FinCEN accuses of illegally processing over $4 billion from Venezuela (half of which came from PdVSA). Andorran authorities have since ordered a takeover of the bank. At the center of the scandal is Rafael Ramírez, formerly Venezuela’s minister of energy and foreign affairs as well as president of PdVSA. Ramírez is currently Venezuela’s ambassador to the United Nations, which affords him diplomatic immunity. Massive corruption just adds to Venezuela’s woes, which include deepening recession, triple digit inflation, an ever-growing gap between the official and black market currencies, widespread goods shortages, and escalating crime rates.
Americas
This Week in Markets and Democracy: Corruption in Honduras and an Election Timeline
CFR’s Civil Society, Markets, and Democracy (CSMD) Program highlights noteworthy events and articles each Friday in “This Week in Markets and Democracy.”    U.S. Acts on Honduran Corruption Honduras faces widening corruption scandals. Troubles started last summer over allegations that public officials skimmed more than $200 million from the federal social  security program. President Juan Orlando Hernandez resisted civil society demands for his resignation, despite evidence linking the stolen funds to his political party. Last week the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) indicted former Honduran vice president Jaime Rosenthal, as well as his son and nephew (both former government ministers), accusing all three of  laundering drug trafficking proceeds through U.S. financial institutions. The U.S. Department of Treasury announced sanctions against the family’s significant private sector holdings, including Banco Continental—one of Honduras’ largest banks. This is the first time the Department of Treasury has used the Narcotics Kingpin Act (typically invoked against drug traffickers and their businesses) to sanction a bank outside the U.S. Honduran regulators have forced Banco Continental’s liquidation and seized control of the family’s companies. Authorities have yet to announce their own investigation into the Rosenthals, one of the country’s wealthiest and most politically connected families. This contrasts to developments in Guatemala, where corruption investigations by the attorney general and UN-backed International Commission Against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG) led to the fall of the president and vice president, among others. Honduras has refused the creation of its own CICIG, acquiescing only to an Organization of American States (OAS) mission to “advise and support” Honduran corruption investigations. This choice may take corruption investigations and prosecutions out of the hands of local authorities altogether, augmenting the role of the U.S. DOJ in enforcing Honduran justice. Election Timeline Four upcoming elections will have significant implications for political transitions and fragile democracies. Argentina—October 25 On Sunday, Argentines will vote for their next president, ending twelve years of Kirchners in the Casa Rosada. Daniel Scioli, governor of the province of Buenos Aires and establishment candidate could win in the first round if he can both garner 40 percent of the votes and beat his nearest rival, Mauricio Macri of the Republican Proposal (PRO) by 10 percentage points (polls show him close). If he falls short, the final two candidates will compete again on November 22; each wooing the third contender, Sergio Massa, a former friend now foe of President Cristina Kirchner. International observers and many Argentines hope for economic change; whoever wins, reform will come slowly. Tanzania, October 25 Unlike the elections unfolding in Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), in Tanzania President Jakaya Kikiwete will step down when his constitutionally mandated term ends on October 25. The two leading candidates are John Magufuli of the ruling party, Chama Cha Mapinduzi (CCM), and Edward Lowassa of opposition party Chadema. A clear difference between the two is their legacy on corruption: Magufuli is known for sacking officials guilty of bribery, while Lowassa resigned from his post as prime minister due to corruption accusations (he denies the charges). This week’s elections are tightly contested. Citizens’ concerns include high poverty and unemployment rates (at 65.6 percent and 11.7 percent, respectively), and overwhelming bureaucracy (Tanzania earned one of the lowest rankings in the 2015 World Bank’s Doing Business Report for its complex and costly regulations). Still Tanzania remains a bright spot in sub-Saharan Africa, as the opposition has a solid chance of ending thirty-five years of one-party rule. Turkey—November 1 Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan called next week’s snap parliamentary elections last August to try and recover his Justice and Development (AKP) Party’s June lost parliamentary majority. In the run-up he has catered to anti-Kurdish and nationalist sentiment,  launching airstrikes against Kurds in Syria and deepening ethnic tensions. Slowing growth, political instability, and rising ISIS-related violence has scared investors – some $6.6. billion fled Turkey’s equity markets since the start of the election cycle in March 2014, and many Western allies and investors hope that the election forces Erdogan to form a coalition, checking his power and reigniting the economy. Myanmar—November 8 In three weeks Myanmar is expected to hold its first free election in over twenty-five years. The country officially adopted a nominally civilian government in 2011, though military vote rigging brought in former commander Thein Sein as president. In next month’s parliamentary election, the opposition National League for Democracy (NLD), led by Nobel Prize-winning Aung San Suu Kyi, hopes to gain enough seats to lead the coalition that will choose the next president. Pushing back, the military-led Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) has proposed to postpone the election date, disenfranchised millions of Myanmar nationals living outside the country from early voting, and effectively barred the Rohingya Muslim minority from the polls. With campaigns mired in religious discrimination and fraud allegations, Myanmar’s elections are only a first step toward democracy.                
  • Pakistan
    Critiquing U.S. Aid in Pakistan: A Second Take
    Emerging Voices features contributions from scholars and practitioners highlighting new research, thinking, and approaches to development challenges. This post is from Nadia Naviwala (@NadiaNavi), an Islamabad-based researcher and writer. Here she details a recent New York Times story on U.S. development assistance in Pakistan, and explains why investigating aid efforts there requires a different approach. The New York Times published a story last month about the second largest United States Agency for International Development (USAID) mission in the world: Pakistan. The Times argued that despite over a decade of work and billions of dollars, “aid has had minimal impact on the ground,” thanks to overreliance on “American contractors with little development experience,” and corrupt Pakistani subcontractors that don’t do the work or return equipment. As a former country representative for the United States Institute of Peace (USIP), a USAID desk officer, and a Congressional staff member who helped to lead the creation of the Commission on Wartime Contracting, I have been involved in U.S. assistance efforts in Pakistan since 2009. My research and experience with Pakistani civil society made me an early and vocal critic of foreign-led development efforts in Pakistan. Yet the Times story’s criticisms are not supported by the evidence. A Lawyer in Peshawar Sues USAID The Times story centered on a USAID contract in Pakistan’s Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA) terminated in 2010 for waste, fraud, and abuse. As the Times told it, three lawyers in Peshawar accuse USAID of failing to recover U.S. taxpayer money from a court settlement that awarded the agency damages. It continues: “A recent lawsuit against the agency highlighted the challenges and image problem it faces in a country where American aid is often viewed with suspicion… “Documents and correspondence filed by the lawyers lay bare the money and equipment that went to waste in a project in Pakistan’s insurgency-hit tribal areas…. “U.S.A.I.D. suspended Academy for Educational Development from United States government contracts…Academy for Educational Development was also awarded at least $300,000 after a drawn-out arbitration process with its Pakistani subcontractors — money that should have been returned to U.S.A.I.D. The Pakistani lawyers who filed the suit said that the aid agency had made no attempt to recover the money. “For many Pakistanis, the case is another puzzling instance of wastefulness. ‘This is U.S. taxpayer money,’ Sanaullah Khan, one of the lawyers, said. ‘Why is U.S.A.I.D. walking away from an ongoing legal process?’” The unasked question is, why did a Pakistani lawyer in Peshawar dedicate his time (unpaid) to chase American taxpayer money? After contacting Sanaullah Khan, one of the lawyers involved in the suit, it became clear that the Times is conflating two sets of cases. The first relates to local court battles over contracting corruption, for work USAID supported in Pakistan before 2010. The more recent lawsuit is over unpaid legal fees that have nothing to do with the development agency’s impact there. In 2010, USAID discovered corruption tied to the Academy for Educational Development (AED), a U.S. contractor working in FATA, thanks to a whistleblower who wrote a letter to President Obama. Khan, AED’s Director of Legal Affairs at the time, says he was left behind to fight off subcontractors after USAID cut ties and AED dissolved. Engineering subcontractors then sued AED for around $9 million, though a Peshawar court in 2013 decided these claims were illegitimate. They awarded damages in the other direction—subcontractors were to pay AED a total of $300,000, while AED owed them only $60,000. As to why USAID is not getting involved in the legal process to claim this $300,000 (which is still tied up in appeals), the U.S. Embassy in Islamabad explains: “AED’s subcontractors are not and were never in a contractual relationship with USAID. Because USAID’s contract was with AED and not with AED’s subcontractors, there is and was no legal way for USAID to recover funds.” In addition, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) reached a settlement with AED in 2011. According to the terms, AED paid USAID $5.3 million dollars, plus another $350,000, plus the company’s remaining cash assets—possibly totaling over $15 million. It released both parties from future claims. Khan is now suing the dissolved AED in a Peshawar court for $750,000 in unpaid legal fees (the second case). Khan named USAID’s Pakistan mission director in the claim and asked the court to freeze USAID’s bank accounts in the country until he is repaid. His case faces a challenge by the 2011 DOJ settlement that specifically states the U.S. government is not liable for AED’s lawyers’ fees. In the Court of Public Opinion Khan likely hoped the Times publicity would help advance his cause. Less clear is why the Times extrapolates these cases to make their own about USAID’s minimal impact in Pakistan when the details undermine their argument. The fraud the Times describes happened over five years ago—before the implementation of the $7.5 billion, five-year aid program (known as the Kerry-Lugar-Berman Act) that the story calls into question. Further, the Obama administration acted swiftly and severely against AED’s corruption, effectively “killing” the company. They touted AED’s investigation and suspension as a success story in USAID accountability. The Times’ editors likely realized the overreach and within days of publication changed the title from, “In Pakistan, U.S. Aid Agency Produces Dubious Results,” to “In Pakistan, U.S. Aid Agency Faces Skepticism.” (They also added a lengthy editor’s note about their interactions with USAID in reporting the story.) Surprisingly Khan is not among the skeptics of U.S. development programs. He supports the work AED and USAID did in FATA. “Only the engineering team was involved in corruption. The rest of the program was good and useful. I’d say ninety percent of all other components—in agriculture, health, education, training, development, there are many—worked tremendously well.” Contracting with Governments The Times’ criticism—and its focus on U.S. contractor relationships as a source of the problem—detracts from more useful scrutiny of USAID’s work in Pakistan over the past five years. In 2009, around the time of the AED scandal and the new multi-billion dollar aid package, USAID reorganized the way it implements projects in Pakistan. The agency terminated contracts with U.S.-based companies (at the behest of the late Ambassador Richard Holbrooke, then U.S. envoy to Afghanistan and Pakistan) and started shifting funding to local partners, primarily the Pakistani government. The Pakistan package has since been one of the largest experiments in contracting with a foreign government—referred to as government-to-government or “G2G” assistance—in the world. According to the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), between 2010 and 2014, the value of G2G contracts in Afghanistan and Pakistan exceeded the total value of contracts with all other foreign governments (see: Figure 1). U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), "USAID Has Taken Steps to Safeguard Government-to-Government Funding but Could Further Strengthen Accountability," 2015. The approach is not without flaws. G2G would be more aptly named B2B, or bureaucracy-to-bureaucracy. The slow pace has been a huge frustration to both Pakistani and U.S. officials and prompted the gradual reintroduction of U.S. contractors in complex arrangements with government institutions— a relationship worth investigating. The Times makes an important point that whether U.S. money is lost to graft and waste matters, but fails to substantiate it. A more valuable question is whether U.S.-funded projects in Pakistan, including schools, clinics, roads, and power and water infrastructure, are operating and can be sustained once handed over to local governments. And whether the hundreds of millions the U.S. invested in training, capacity-building, policy, and advocacy programs are helping to meet that goal.
  • Trade
    This Week in Markets and Democracy: Africa’s Stalled Progress, Nepal’s Post-Disaster Setbacks, and What We’re Reading on TPP
    CFR’s Civil Society, Markets, and Democracy (CSMD) Program highlights noteworthy events and articles each Friday in "This Week in Markets and Democracy.” Africa’s Governance and Economic Struggles New IMF data and the 2015 Ibrahim Index of African Governance (IIAG), both released this week, show stalling or declining economic growth and governance progress across the continent. Despite better health, education, and human development statistics, IIAG found backsliding in accountability and rights, with thirty-one out of fifty-four countries deteriorating. Africa’s business environment—measured as competitiveness, bureaucracy and red tape, and investment climate—scored the lowest and fell the most of any category since 2011. The IMF echoed these gloomy metrics, projecting sub-Saharan growth to slow to 3.8 percent in 2015, hit by an overreliance on commodities. Both sets of data make clear the interdependence of governance and economic growth. The lowest-scoring countries on IIAG’s business indicators—including Eritrea, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, and Equatorial Guinea—also ranked among the worst on rights and participation. And Côte d’Ivoire, ranked as IIAG’s “most improved” based on its aggregate governance score is among the few sub-Saharan countries expected to post high growth through 2017. Post-Disaster Aid: When it Works, When it Doesn’t Nearing the six-month anniversary of Nepal’s devastating earthquake that killed more than 8,500 people, comparisons to other natural disaster relief efforts highlight the potential pitfalls of aid delivered in a governance vacuum. Thailand’s post-tsunami recovery fared well relative to others—the country’s centralized (albeit authoritarian-leaning) leadership owned the response, mostly relying on technical rather than financial assistance. In contrast, Haiti remains a cautionary tale—despite some $9 billion in relief aid 150,000 Haitians still live in “temporary” camps and the government remains fragile, as witnessed in the recent chaotic and violent parliamentary contest. Nepal appears to be heading on a similar route with the government yet to draw up a plan for spending $4.1 billion in international donations, even as three million survivors lack shelter, food, and basic medical care in one of the world’s poorest countries. With the new constitution in dispute, a political crisis brewing with India, and a worsening fuel shortage all costing the economy an estimated $1 billion, reconstruction will likely be delayed further. What We’re Reading on the TPP Agreement… This week twelve countries, representing 40 percent of the world’s GDP, signed onto the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). Now experts are chiming in on the many potential effects for participants: Kimberly Ann Elliott from the Center for Global Development summarizes the TPP’s impact for developing countries: cutting agricultural subsidies and expanding access to capital controls may help poorer members, but concerns over rules of origin and intellectual property rights linger. Siddhartha Mahanta finds the changes to the heavily-criticized investor-state dispute settlement process important, saying they may “strike a blow to corporate impunity”—especially cases brought by tobacco companies against smoking bans. As the TPP deal closed, the World Bank announced that extreme poverty will drop below ten percent globally in 2015. John Cassidy argues that trade helped lift 1.3 billion people out of poverty, even as it increased inequality within countries. Fellow CFR expert Ted Alden says that a TPP deal reasserts U.S. leadership in global trade negotiations and strengthens its influence over future rules.